{"id":46067,"date":"2024-08-13T16:07:02","date_gmt":"2024-08-13T16:07:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/thecryptocurrencypost.net\/es\/?p=46067"},"modified":"2026-05-30T09:51:46","modified_gmt":"2026-05-30T07:51:46","slug":"polymarket-registra-gran-actividad-por-el-regreso-de-trump-a-x-y-su-entrevista-con-musk","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thecryptocurrencypost.net\/es\/polymarket-registra-gran-actividad-por-el-regreso-de-trump-a-x-y-su-entrevista-con-musk\/","title":{"rendered":"Polymarket Registra Gran Actividad por el Regreso de Trump a X y su Entrevista con Musk"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Puntos clave de la noticia:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"text-align: justify\"><strong>Polymarket ha visto un aumento en las apuestas debido al regreso de Donald Trump a X<\/strong>, con especial inter\u00e9s en la cantidad de tweets que publicar\u00e1 en la pr\u00f3xima semana.<\/li>\n<li style=\"text-align: justify\">El mercado de apuestas sobre si Trump har\u00e1 publicaciones en X antes de las elecciones de noviembre de 2024 <strong>ha acumulado $829,707, con una predicci\u00f3n del 100%..<\/strong><\/li>\n<li style=\"text-align: justify\">Las apuestas sobre la entrevista de Trump con Elon Musk incluyeron t\u00e9rminos como &#8220;MAGA&#8221; y &#8220;tampon,&#8221; <strong><strong>con retornos de hasta 455%.<\/strong><\/strong><br \/>\n<hr \/>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">Polymarket ha experimentado un fuerte aumento en la actividad de sus <a href=\"https:\/\/thecryptocurrencypost.net\/es\/noticias-criptomonedas\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>mercados<\/strong> <\/a>de apuestas, <strong>impulsado por el regreso de Donald Trump a la plataforma de redes sociales X,<\/strong> anteriormente conocida como Twitter. Se han disparado las <a href=\"https:\/\/polymarket.com\/event\/will-trump-tweet-again-before-election?tid=1723560282610\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><strong>apuestas<\/strong> <\/a>sobre diversos aspectos del comportamiento y las declaraciones del magnate y pol\u00edtico en la red social de Elon Musk.<!--more--><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">Uno de los mercados m\u00e1s activos en Polymarket se centra en <strong>predecir la cantidad de tweets que Trump publicar\u00e1 en la pr\u00f3xima semana<\/strong>. Los participantes han realizado apuestas en diferentes rangos, desde 11 a 15 tweets hasta m\u00e1s de 50 tweets en una semana.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">Actualmente, la mayor\u00eda de las apuestas se concentran en el rango de <strong>11 a 15 tweets, con $72,399 apostados<\/strong> en dicha categor\u00eda, con una probabilidad del <strong>28%<\/strong>. Otro rango importante es el de m\u00e1s de <strong>50 tweets<\/strong>, con<strong> $71,713<\/strong> en apuestas y una probabilidad del<strong> 18%.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">Otra apuesta importante se centra en la posibilidad de que Trump <strong>publique algo en X antes de las elecciones presidenciales<\/strong> de noviembre de 2024. Ese mercado ha atra\u00eddo un total de<strong> $829,707<\/strong> en apuestas, y actualmente predice con <strong>una certeza del 100%<\/strong> que Trump har\u00e1 una publicaci\u00f3n antes de la fecha l\u00edmite electoral.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-46068\" src=\"https:\/\/thecryptocurrencypost.net\/es\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2024\/08\/polymarket-trump-post.jpg\" alt=\"polymarket trump\" width=\"699\" height=\"280\" srcset=\"https:\/\/thecryptocurrencypost.net\/es\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2024\/08\/polymarket-trump-post.jpg 699w, https:\/\/thecryptocurrencypost.net\/es\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2024\/08\/polymarket-trump-post-300x120.jpg 300w, https:\/\/thecryptocurrencypost.net\/es\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2024\/08\/polymarket-trump-post-585x234.jpg 585w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 699px) 100vw, 699px\" \/><\/p>\n<h2>Polymarket Resuelve la Pol\u00e9mica del T\u00e9rmino &#8216;Tweets&#8217;<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">Las condiciones del mercado especifican que <strong>cualquier publicaci\u00f3n o respuesta <\/strong>desde la cuenta verificada de Trump (@realDonaldTrump) contar\u00e1 para resolver la apuesta como un \u201cS\u00ed\u201d. Los retweets no se consideran para el resultado.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">Hay un pol\u00e9mica debido a la ambig\u00fcedad en la definici\u00f3n de qu\u00e9 constituye una publicaci\u00f3n en la plataforma X, donde el t\u00e9rmino &#8220;tweets&#8221; ha sido reemplazado por &#8220;posts&#8221;. Para resolver estas disputas, Polymarket utiliza el <strong>Optimistic Oracle de UMA<\/strong>, un sistema descentralizado que integra datos del mundo real en contratos inteligentes para determinar los resultados de las apuestas. En caso de desacuerdo, el sistema <strong>permite a los poseedores de tokens UMA votar sobre el resultado correcto<\/strong>, resolviendo las disputas en un plazo de 48 a 72 horas.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">En cuanto a la entrevista de Trump con Elon Musk, los participantes apostaron sobre si Donald <strong>mencionar\u00eda ciertos temas durante la conversaci\u00f3n<\/strong>. Aunque los t\u00e9rminos como &#8220;<a href=\"https:\/\/thecryptocurrencypost.net\/es\/noticias-criptomonedas\/noticias-bitcoin\/\">Bitcoin<\/a>&#8221; y &#8220;cripto&#8221; no fueron mencionados, se apost\u00f3 fuerte sobre <strong>palabras como &#8220;MAGA&#8221; y &#8220;tampon&#8221;<\/strong>. El t\u00e9rmino &#8220;tampon&#8221; vio una fluctuaci\u00f3n en su valor, subiendo de 9 centavos a 100 centavos, mientras que &#8220;MAGA&#8221; tambi\u00e9n experiment\u00f3 un aumento considerable en su valor. Los apostadores lograron <strong>retornos de hasta un 455%<\/strong> en funci\u00f3n de los resultados de la entrevista.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Puntos clave de la noticia: Polymarket ha visto un aumento en las apuestas debido al regreso de Donald Trump a X, con especial inter\u00e9s en la cantidad de tweets que publicar\u00e1 en la pr\u00f3xima semana. El mercado de apuestas sobre si Trump har\u00e1 publicaciones en X antes de las elecciones de noviembre de 2024 ha [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":31,"featured_media":46069,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[249,33,22],"tags":[29,761,811],"class_list":["post-46067","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-blockchain","category-editors-picks","category-noticias-criptomonedas","tag-blockchain","tag-donald-trump","tag-estado-unidos"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Polymarket Registra Gran Actividad por el Regreso de Trump a X y su Entrevista con Musk The CryptoCurrency Post ESP<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Polymarket ha experimentado un fuerte aumento de actividad, impulsado por el regreso de 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