{"id":54648,"date":"2025-10-20T21:22:05","date_gmt":"2025-10-20T21:22:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/thecryptocurrencypost.net\/es\/?p=54648"},"modified":"2026-05-30T09:32:46","modified_gmt":"2026-05-30T07:32:46","slug":"record-semanal-de-mas-de-2000-millones-en-mercados-de-prediccion-impulsa-interes-institucional-y-debate-regulatorio","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thecryptocurrencypost.net\/es\/record-semanal-de-mas-de-2000-millones-en-mercados-de-prediccion-impulsa-interes-institucional-y-debate-regulatorio\/","title":{"rendered":"Volumen semanal de mercados de predicci\u00f3n supera $2 mil millones gracias a Polymarket"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>El <b>volumen semanal de mercados de predicci\u00f3n<\/b> ha roto un nuevo r\u00e9cord hist\u00f3rico. Super\u00f3 los $2 mil millones de d\u00f3lares recientemente, marcando un hito para la industria. <b><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/polymarket\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Polymarket<\/a> ha recuperado su liderazgo<\/b> sobre su competidor Kalshi despu\u00e9s de ocho semanas. Estos datos provienen de un panel detallado de Dune Analytics, que monitorea la actividad del sector.<\/p>\n<p><!--more--><\/p>\n<p>El sector experimenta un crecimiento masivo en la actividad de los usuarios. Polymarket registr\u00f3 un volumen de $1 mil millones de d\u00f3lares. <b>Le sigue de cerca Kalshi<\/b> con $950 millones. Kalshi hab\u00eda liderado el mercado gracias al inicio de la temporada de la NFL en agosto. Sin embargo, Polymarket recuper\u00f3 la delantera. <b>Lo hizo coincidiendo con las pruebas beta<\/b> de su aplicaci\u00f3n para EE. UU. Otros jugadores como Limitless tambi\u00e9n crecen, alcanzando $21.9 millones. Curiosamente, <b>las apuestas deportivas generaron $414.7 millones<\/b>, superando a los mercados pol\u00edticos ($322.6 millones) a pesar de la cercan\u00eda de las elecciones de noviembre.<\/p>\n<p><b>Contexto e Importancia del Hecho<\/b> Este hito demuestra la creciente adopci\u00f3n generalizada de los mercados de predicci\u00f3n. <b>El sector gana mayor conciencia<\/b> p\u00fablica. El crecimiento se ve facilitado por un entorno regulatorio federal m\u00e1s flexible en EE. UU. Ambas plataformas principales recibieron &#8220;cartas de no acci\u00f3n&#8221; de la CFTC este a\u00f1o. Kalshi la obtuvo en mayo y Polymarket en septiembre. Esto les <b>dio luz verde para operar<\/b> con usuarios estadounidenses, aunque algunos reguladores estatales a\u00fan presentan desaf\u00edos legales.<\/p>\n<h2>\u00bfEstamos ante valoraciones de miles de millones en la nueva econom\u00eda digital?<\/h2>\n<p>El inter\u00e9s no es solo de los usuarios, sino tambi\u00e9n de los inversores institucionales. <b>Las valoraciones de las compa\u00f1\u00edas se han disparado<\/b>. Kalshi cerr\u00f3 una ronda Serie D de $300 millones, valorando la empresa en $5 mil millones. Participaron gigantes como a16z, Sequoia y <a href=\"https:\/\/thecryptocurrencypost.net\/es\/tag\/coinbase\/\">Coinbase<\/a>. Por su parte, Polymarket recibi\u00f3 una inversi\u00f3n estrat\u00e9gica de $2 mil millones de Intercontinental Exchange (ICE). <b>Esto elev\u00f3 su valoraci\u00f3n a $9 mil millones<\/b>. Estas cifras reflejan la confianza institucional en el potencial a largo plazo de la <a href=\"https:\/\/thecryptocurrencypost.net\/es\/economia\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><b>econom\u00eda<\/b><\/a> de predicci\u00f3n.<\/p>\n<p><b>Conclusi\u00f3n y Perspectivas Futuras<\/b> El sector mira hacia el futuro con gran optimismo. <b>Un informe de Certuity estima<\/b> que el mercado podr\u00eda alcanzar $95.5 mil millones para 2035. Mientras tanto, los usuarios especulan sobre el lanzamiento del token nativo de Polymarket. Fuentes sugieren que <b>probablemente no ocurrir\u00e1 en 2025<\/b>, sino el pr\u00f3ximo a\u00f1o. Esto no ha detenido a los &#8220;farmers&#8221; de airdrops. <b>Estos se han vuelto m\u00e1s sofisticados<\/b> para eludir condiciones y asegurar su parte del creciente <b>volumen semanal de mercados de predicci\u00f3n<\/b>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>El volumen semanal de mercados de predicci\u00f3n ha roto un nuevo r\u00e9cord hist\u00f3rico. Super\u00f3 los $2 mil millones de d\u00f3lares recientemente, marcando un hito para la industria. Polymarket ha recuperado su liderazgo sobre su competidor Kalshi despu\u00e9s de ocho semanas. Estos datos provienen de un panel detallado de Dune Analytics, que monitorea la actividad del [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":33,"featured_media":54647,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"rank_math_title":"","rank_math_description":"","rank_math_robots":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[82,33,259],"tags":[140,1256],"class_list":["post-54648","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economia","category-editors-picks","category-mercado","tag-criptomonedas","tag-prediccion-de-precios"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Volumen semanal de mercados de predicci\u00f3n supera $2 mil millones gracias a Polymarket The CryptoCurrency Post ESP<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"El volumen semanal de mercados de predicci\u00f3n supera los $2 mil millones, un r\u00e9cord hist\u00f3rico. 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