{"id":55102,"date":"2025-10-24T18:59:47","date_gmt":"2025-10-24T18:59:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/thecryptocurrencypost.net\/es\/?p=55102"},"modified":"2026-05-30T09:35:15","modified_gmt":"2026-05-30T07:35:15","slug":"vaneck-vincula-el-precio-de-bitcoin-a-la-masa-monetaria-m2-y-proyecta-un-objetivo-de-180-000-dolares","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thecryptocurrencypost.net\/es\/vaneck-vincula-el-precio-de-bitcoin-a-la-masa-monetaria-m2-y-proyecta-un-objetivo-de-180-000-dolares\/","title":{"rendered":"VanEck: Creciente correlaci\u00f3n de Bitcoin con liquidez M2 respalda objetivo de $180.000"},"content":{"rendered":"

Jan Van Eck, CEO de VanEck, ha reafirmado un ambicioso objetivo de precio para Bitcoin<\/a>. La firma proyecta que BTC podr\u00eda alcanzar los $180.000 antes de que finalice el actual ciclo alcista. Este pron\u00f3stico se basa en la creciente correlaci\u00f3n de Bitcoin con liquidez M2<\/b> global.<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

El an\u00e1lisis<\/a><\/strong> de VanEck, detallado en su reciente informe “Bitcoin ChainCheck”, revela una conexi\u00f3n hist\u00f3rica. Desde 2014, Bitcoin ha mostrado una correlaci\u00f3n de aproximadamente 0.5 con el crecimiento global del M2. Esto significa que los cambios en la oferta monetaria fiduciaria<\/b> explican una parte significativa de sus retornos a largo plazo.<\/p>\n

Nathan Frankovitz, analista de inversiones de VanEck, se\u00f1al\u00f3 un dato clave. La liquidez global (considerando las cinco principales divisas) pr\u00e1cticamente se duplic\u00f3 desde 2013. Esta cifra pas\u00f3 de $50 billones a casi $100 billones. Durante ese mismo per\u00edodo, el precio de Bitcoin aument\u00f3 m\u00e1s de 700 veces<\/b>.<\/p>\n

Esta relaci\u00f3n subraya el papel emergente de Bitcoin como un activo de reserva neutral. La econom\u00eda<\/b> <\/a>global ha experimentado una devaluaci\u00f3n monetaria sincronizada. De hecho, la oferta monetaria M2 del euro muestra la correlaci\u00f3n m\u00e1s fuerte (r = 0.69) con el precio de BTC. VanEck destaca que Bitcoin ahora representa cerca del 2% de la oferta monetaria global. Por lo tanto, la firma considera que poseer menos del 2% en activos digitales<\/b> equivale a una posici\u00f3n corta impl\u00edcita contra esta clase de activo.<\/p>\n

\u00bfEs el mercado de futuros la clave para los $180K?<\/h2>\n

VanEck no solo mira la liquidez; tambi\u00e9n apunta al mercado de derivados. El apalancamiento en futuros es crucial<\/b> para alcanzar el objetivo de $180.000. Desde octubre de 2020, casi el 73% de la varianza del precio de BTC se explica por los cambios en el inter\u00e9s abierto (OI) de futuros.<\/p>\n

Aunque el apalancamiento alcanz\u00f3 niveles altos (percentil 95) a principios de octubre, la composici\u00f3n del mercado ha madurado. Ahora existe una mayor participaci\u00f3n de instituciones y creadores de mercado<\/b> de ETFs. Esta actividad institucional se est\u00e1 desplazando hacia plataformas reguladas, como el CME.<\/p>\n

A pesar de la volatilidad reciente, que vio caer el OI de $52B a $39B tras una correcci\u00f3n, la perspectiva se mantiene. Farzam Ehsani, CEO de VALR, sugiere que Bitcoin intenta alcanzar al oro<\/b>, no necesariamente reemplazarlo. T\u00e9cnicamente, BTC se consolida entre $108.000 y $125.000. Mientras mantenga el soporte clave de $108.600, la estructura favorece una continuaci\u00f3n alcista. Una ruptura clara por encima de $125.000<\/b> confirmar\u00eda la fuerza renovada hacia nuevos m\u00e1ximos.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Jan Van Eck, CEO de VanEck, ha reafirmado un ambicioso objetivo de precio para Bitcoin. La firma proyecta que BTC podr\u00eda alcanzar los $180.000 antes de que finalice el actual ciclo alcista. Este pron\u00f3stico se basa en la creciente correlaci\u00f3n de Bitcoin con liquidez M2 global.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":34,"featured_media":55101,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[80,33],"tags":[590,124,142],"class_list":["post-55102","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-companias","category-editors-picks","tag-analisis-de-mercado","tag-bitcoin","tag-noticias"],"yoast_head":"\nVanEck: Creciente correlaci\u00f3n de Bitcoin con liquidez M2 respalda objetivo de $180.000 The CryptoCurrency Post ESP<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"VanEck reitera su objetivo de $180K para Bitcoin. 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