{"id":55440,"date":"2025-10-29T14:12:16","date_gmt":"2025-10-29T14:12:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/thecryptocurrencypost.net\/es\/?p=55440"},"modified":"2026-05-30T09:17:32","modified_gmt":"2026-05-30T07:17:32","slug":"inversores-de-criptomonedas-celebran-posible-cambio-de-rumbo-de-la-fed-y-fin-del-ajuste-monetario","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thecryptocurrencypost.net\/es\/inversores-de-criptomonedas-celebran-posible-cambio-de-rumbo-de-la-fed-y-fin-del-ajuste-monetario\/","title":{"rendered":"Inversores de criptomonedas celebran posible cambio de rumbo de la Fed y fin del ajuste monetario"},"content":{"rendered":"

El mercado de criptomonedas<\/a> muestra optimismo ante las crecientes probabilidades de que la Reserva Federal reduzca las tasas de inter\u00e9s y finalice su programa de ajuste cuantitativo<\/strong>. Estas expectativas est\u00e1n impulsando a fondos institucionales, ETFs y estrategias de liquidez r\u00e1pida, ya que potencialmente liberar\u00eda capital para fluir hacia activos de mayor riesgo como Bitcoin y altcoins.<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

Los mercados de predicci\u00f3n otorgan un 98% de probabilidad a un recorte de tasas<\/strong> de 25 puntos b\u00e1sicos para el 29 de octubre de 2025, y un 92,2% de probabilidad para septiembre de 2025, seg\u00fan los datos citados. Entidades financieras como JPMorgan<\/a> y Goldman Sachs se\u00f1alan que la Reserva Federal probablemente dejar\u00e1 de reducir activos \u2014conocido como Quantitative Tightening (QT)\u2014 en el \u00faltimo trimestre de 2025, posiblemente en octubre o diciembre.<\/p>\n

Desde junio de 2022, el balance<\/a> de la Fed ha disminuido de 8,9 billones a 6,6 billones de d\u00f3lares<\/strong>, retirando m\u00e1s de 2 billones del sistema financiero. El posible fin de esta contracci\u00f3n monetaria podr\u00eda redirigir capital hacia activos de mayor riesgo como las criptomonedas.<\/p>\n

Predicciones del mercado y cambios en la pol\u00edtica monetaria<\/h2>\n

Bitcoin ya refleja este optimismo<\/strong>, cotizando entre 115.000 y 116.000 d\u00f3lares. Un cierre diario por encima de 116.000 podr\u00eda abrir el camino hacia niveles de 120.000-122.000 d\u00f3lares, con proyecciones que apuntan incluso a 150.000-160.000 d\u00f3lares. El nivel de 110.000 d\u00f3lares se considera ahora como soporte.<\/p>\n

El probable cambio de pol\u00edtica monetaria de la Fed traer\u00eda m\u00faltiples efectos en el ecosistema cripto<\/strong>. Se espera mayor flujo de capital hacia ETFs y productos institucionales, aumentando los activos bajo gesti\u00f3n y la demanda de servicios de custodia. Tambi\u00e9n mejorar\u00eda la liquidez en mercados spot y de derivados, reduciendo los diferenciales y aumentando la exposici\u00f3n al riesgo de contraparte.<\/p>\n

Sin embargo, existe el riesgo de volatilidad si los datos econ\u00f3micos retrasan los recortes de tasas esperados<\/strong>. Un giro hacia pol\u00edticas m\u00e1s restrictivas podr\u00eda provocar ca\u00eddas significativas, con estimaciones de correcciones entre el 50% y el 80%. Adicionalmente, el incremento de inversores institucionales tendr\u00eda impacto en las normativas KYC\/AML y servicios de custodia.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

El mercado de criptomonedas muestra optimismo ante las crecientes probabilidades de que la Reserva Federal reduzca las tasas de inter\u00e9s y finalice su programa de ajuste cuantitativo. Estas expectativas est\u00e1n impulsando a fondos institucionales, ETFs y estrategias de liquidez r\u00e1pida, ya que potencialmente liberar\u00eda capital para fluir hacia activos de mayor riesgo como Bitcoin y […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":34,"featured_media":55437,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[33,259],"tags":[676,124,140,349,896,379],"class_list":["post-55440","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-editors-picks","category-mercado","tag-altcoin","tag-bitcoin","tag-criptomonedas","tag-goldman-sachs","tag-jpmorgan","tag-reserva-federal"],"yoast_head":"\nInversores de criptomonedas celebran posible cambio de rumbo de la Fed y fin del ajuste monetario The CryptoCurrency Post ESP<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"El mercado de criptomonedas muestra optimismo ante las crecientes probabilidades de que la 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