{"id":57940,"date":"2025-11-28T11:31:10","date_gmt":"2025-11-28T11:31:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/thecryptocurrencypost.net\/es\/?p=57940"},"modified":"2026-05-30T09:48:23","modified_gmt":"2026-05-30T07:48:23","slug":"bitcoin-permanece-estable-pese-al-maximo-historico-de-liquidez-global-en-35-anos","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thecryptocurrencypost.net\/es\/bitcoin-permanece-estable-pese-al-maximo-historico-de-liquidez-global-en-35-anos\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin permanece estable pese al m\u00e1ximo hist\u00f3rico de liquidez global"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>La expansi\u00f3n monetaria global ha alcanzado en 2025 su nivel m\u00e1s alto en 35 a\u00f1os, con un M2 estimado en <strong>$112 billones<\/strong>. Sin embargo, Bitcoin ha mantenido un comportamiento relativamente plano, alternando episodios de volatilidad sin mostrar una tendencia alcista sostenida. Esta aparente desconexi\u00f3n entre la masiva inyecci\u00f3n de liquidez y el rendimiento de la principal criptomoneda plantea interrogantes sobre los mecanismos de transmisi\u00f3n monetaria en los mercados digitales.<\/p>\n<p><!--more--><\/p>\n<p>El 2025 ha estado marcado por una tendencia global de relajaci\u00f3n monetaria. <strong>La Reserva de Australia implement\u00f3 tres recortes<\/strong> hasta situar su tipo en 3,6% en noviembre, mientras que <strong>la Reserva Federal ejecut\u00f3 un recorte de 0,25% a mediados de septiembre<\/strong>. Otras entidades como el Banco de Corea y el banco central de Filipinas tambi\u00e9n redujeron sus tipos de inter\u00e9s, alimentando la percepci\u00f3n de una ola global de flexibilizaci\u00f3n monetaria, con los mercados asignando una probabilidad del 96,7% a nuevos recortes en octubre.<\/p>\n<p>A pesar de que el M2 global repunt\u00f3 hasta aproximadamente $112 billones, esta cifra agregada no refleja con precisi\u00f3n los flujos hacia el ecosistema cripto. A nivel on-chain, indicadores m\u00e1s espec\u00edficos muestran que <strong>la oferta de tokens estables ERC-20 super\u00f3 los $160 mil millones<\/strong>, mientras que la circulaci\u00f3n total de <a href=\"https:\/\/thecryptocurrencypost.net\/es\/tag\/stablecoins\/\">stablecoins<\/a> alcanz\u00f3 $265 mil millones, m\u00e9tricas que proporcionan una visi\u00f3n m\u00e1s directa del capital disponible para trading y DeFi.<\/p>\n<p>El comportamiento de <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/KobeissiLetter\/status\/1994222461252980749\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Bitcoin<\/a> ha mostrado se\u00f1ales contradictorias: por un lado, registr\u00f3 un preocupante &#8220;death cross&#8221; t\u00e9cnico el 16 de noviembre de 2025 que precedi\u00f3 a una <strong>ca\u00edda r\u00e1pida del 25%<\/strong>. Sin embargo, tambi\u00e9n experiment\u00f3 un repunte del 8% tras el recorte de la Fed en septiembre y lleg\u00f3 a <strong>superar los $91,000 a finales de noviembre<\/strong> ante nuevas expectativas de mayor flexibilizaci\u00f3n monetaria, evidenciando una respuesta de precio vol\u00e1til y no lineal.<\/p>\n<h2>Panorama de Pol\u00edtica Monetaria y Respuesta de Bitcoin<\/h2>\n<p>La mayor institucionalizaci\u00f3n de <a href=\"https:\/\/thecryptocurrencypost.net\/es\/noticias-criptomonedas\/noticias-bitcoin\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Bitcoin<\/a> ha transformado su comportamiento frente a ciclos monetarios anteriores. Ahora responde con mayor complejidad a factores como las tasas reales, las expectativas inflacionarias y los flujos institucionales, alej\u00e1ndose del patr\u00f3n m\u00e1s simple y directo que podr\u00eda haber mostrado en fases anteriores de su desarrollo.<\/p>\n<p>Esta evoluci\u00f3n tambi\u00e9n se refleja en las m\u00e9tricas on-chain, donde el capital espec\u00edfico para cripto puede moverse con un calendario distinto al dinero tradicional, a\u00f1adiendo otra capa de complejidad a la relaci\u00f3n entre pol\u00edtica monetaria y precios de activos digitales.<\/p>\n<p>Las decisiones y expectativas sobre nuevos recortes de la Fed, junto con la evoluci\u00f3n de la oferta de stablecoins en los pr\u00f3ximos 60-110 d\u00edas, ser\u00e1n determinantes para clarificar la direcci\u00f3n sostenida del mercado, considerando los desfases temporales observados hist\u00f3ricamente.<\/p>\n<p>La aparente contradicci\u00f3n entre m\u00e1ximos hist\u00f3ricos de liquidez y el comportamiento lateral de Bitcoin podr\u00eda resolverse en los pr\u00f3ximos meses, cuando los efectos completos de la flexibilizaci\u00f3n monetaria comiencen a manifestarse en los mercados digitales.<\/p>\n<p><strong>La oferta de stablecoins, que ha alcanzado $265 mil millones<\/strong>, representa un indicador m\u00e1s preciso del capital disponible para el ecosistema cripto y podr\u00eda anticipar movimientos futuros m\u00e1s que las m\u00e9tricas tradicionales de liquidez global.<\/p>\n<p>La correlaci\u00f3n de Bitcoin con mercados tradicionales contin\u00faa evolucionando, reflejando su creciente integraci\u00f3n con el sistema financiero global y alterando sus patrones hist\u00f3ricos de respuesta a cambios en pol\u00edtica monetaria.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>La expansi\u00f3n monetaria global ha alcanzado en 2025 su nivel m\u00e1s alto en 35 a\u00f1os, con un M2 estimado en $112 billones. Sin embargo, Bitcoin ha mantenido un comportamiento relativamente plano, alternando episodios de volatilidad sin mostrar una tendencia alcista sostenida. Esta aparente desconexi\u00f3n entre la masiva inyecci\u00f3n de liquidez y el rendimiento de la [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":35,"featured_media":57939,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"rank_math_title":"","rank_math_description":"","rank_math_robots":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[82,33],"tags":[124,1085,379],"class_list":["post-57940","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economia","category-editors-picks","tag-bitcoin","tag-m2","tag-reserva-federal"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Bitcoin permanece estable pese al m\u00e1ximo hist\u00f3rico de liquidez global The CryptoCurrency Post ESP<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bitcoin ha mantenido un comportamiento relativamente plano\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" 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