Will the US and Iran hold an in‑person diplomatic meeting by June 21 2026?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise,…
Live marketDeadline map
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?
Several deadline markets are grouped under one Polymarket event. Closed dates are archived; the live view focuses only on active deadlines.
Primary signalJune 16
Probability92.8%
ResolutionJun 17, 2026
ResolutionJun 17, 2026
Signal board
Source on PolymarketPrice, depth and useful dates
An editorial view of the signal: what leads, how much activity is behind it, and which date carries the risk.
Deadline mapJune 16No
Total volume$49.8MAll-time traded activity
24 hour volume$1.3MRecent market attention
Liquidity$453.7KDepth available around prices
Open interest$1.9MCapital still exposed
ResolutionJun 17, 2026Next active phase close
Price convictionStrongLeader is priced with very high conviction.
Active scenarios
Open phases onlyDeadline map
92.8%
85.5%
74.0%
88.4%
90.6%
Editorial analysisCurrent situation and market structure
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Current Market Outlook
As of June 21, 2026, the No outcome is projected with 86.5% confidence. Trading volume remains robust at 186,783 units, signaling sustained market activity. Liquidity and volatility metrics confirm active participation.
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Editorial market brief.
This analysis is provided for informational and editorial purposes only. Market signal prices reflect market-implied expectations, not verified outcomes or recommendations. Markets can be illiquid, volatile, and subject to ambiguous resolution criteria.
This analysis is provided for informational and editorial purposes only. Market signal prices reflect market-implied expectations, not verified outcomes or recommendations. Markets can be illiquid, volatile, and subject to ambiguous resolution criteria.