Will the US and Iran hold an in‑person diplomatic meeting by June 21 2026?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise,…
Closed marketArchived market
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 15, 2026?
Primary signalNo
Probability100.0%
ResolutionApr 30, 2026
ResolutionApr 30, 2026
Signal board
Source on PolymarketPrice, depth and useful dates
An editorial view of the signal: what leads, how much activity is behind it, and which date carries the risk.
Archived marketNoNo
Total volume$58.3MAll-time traded activity
24 hour volume$2.0MRecent market attention
Liquidity$1.9MDepth available around prices
Open interest$2.1MCapital still exposed
ResolutionApr 30, 2026Next active phase close
Price convictionStrongLeader is priced with very high conviction.
Active scenarios
Open phases onlyArchived market
100.0%
0.0%
Editorial analysisCurrent situation and market structure
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Current Market Outlook
As of June 21, 2026, the No outcome is projected with 86.5% confidence. Trading volume remains robust at 186,783 units, signaling sustained market activity. Liquidity and volatility metrics confirm active participation.
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Editorial market brief.
This analysis is provided for informational and editorial purposes only. Market signal prices reflect market-implied expectations, not verified outcomes or recommendations. Markets can be illiquid, volatile, and subject to ambiguous resolution criteria.
This analysis is provided for informational and editorial purposes only. Market signal prices reflect market-implied expectations, not verified outcomes or recommendations. Markets can be illiquid, volatile, and subject to ambiguous resolution criteria.