Markets

Prediction markets

Live prediction markets

Live signal Grouped market event

Event: Russian Parliamentary Election (State Duma) scheduled September 2026. Market: Whi…

100.0% Yes

$10.8M 24h $2.8M liquidity Sep 30, 2026

Live signal Binary market

Strait of Hormuz Ship Traffic to Hit 60-Day Average by Sept 30?

99.6% No

$818.3K 24h $675.1K liquidity Oct 1, 2026

Live signal Binary market

Will the U.S. Invade Iran Before 2027? Odds Climb Past 12% on Polymarket

84.5% No

$801.9K 24h $713.2K liquidity Jan 1, 2027

Live signal Date ladder

Fed Decision in October?

66.5% No change

$688.3K 24h $2.8M liquidity Oct 29, 2026

Live signal Grouped market event

Will Donald Trump Secure the 2028 GOP Nomination Before Election Day?

100.0% No

$444.2K 24h $51.8M liquidity Nov 7, 2028

Live signal Grouped market event

Who Will Win France’s 2027 Presidential Election? Market Odds to Apr 30 2027

100.0% No

$425.5K 24h $17.8M liquidity Apr 18, 2027

Live signal Price threshold range

Bitcoin September Price Range: Where the $55K–$100K Ladder Is Now Pricing BTC

↑ 85,000-↓ 55,000 ↑ 85,000-↓ 55,000

$399.2K 24h $2.7M liquidity Oct 1, 2026

Live signal Grouped market event

Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

100.0% No

$338.3K 24h $21.4M liquidity Oct 4, 2026

Live signal Date ladder

Iran Leadership Change by August 31? Supreme Leader Khamenei Exit Odds

98.6% September 30

$302.0K 24h $692.6K liquidity Oct 1, 2026

Live signal Date ladder

Will US confirm alien existence by Dec 31 2026?

96.5% December 31

$330.2K 24h $1.2M liquidity Jan 1, 2027

Live signal Grouped market event

Will United Russia Dominate the 2026 Russian Parliamentary Election? Deadline September…

100.0% Yes

$484.3K 24h $457.8K liquidity Sep 30, 2026

Live signal Binary market

Will Strait of Hormuz Shipping Traffic Normalize by Dec 31,

79.5% No

$317.4K 24h $418.1K liquidity Jan 1, 2027

Live signal Grouped market event

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

99.9% No

$283.9K 24h $1.9M liquidity Nov 3, 2026

Live signal Grouped market event

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

100.0% No

$283.3K 24h $77.3M liquidity Nov 7, 2028

Live signal Date ladder

Will Bab el-Mandeb Strait Effectively Close by August 31?

99.2% September 30

$273.9K 24h $321.6K liquidity Oct 1, 2026

Live signal Date ladder

Will Vladimir Putin Leave the Russian Presidency by December 31, 2026?

95.8% December 31, 2026

$250.2K 24h $1.0M liquidity Oct 1, 2026

Live signal Price threshold range

WTI Crude Oil September 2026 Price Range: $20 to $150 Odds

↑ $95-↓ $20 ↑ $95-↓ $20

$245.1K 24h $1.5M liquidity Oct 1, 2026

Live signal Price threshold range

Bitcoin 2026 price range: Dip below $55k or stay above $50k by Dec 31 2026?

↑ 95,000-↓ 5,000 ↑ 95,000-↓ 5,000

$227.7K 24h $4.2M liquidity Jan 1, 2027

Live signal Price threshold range

Bitcoin above ___ on September 27?

84,000-86,000 84,000-86,000

$235.1K 24h $820.2K liquidity Sep 27, 2026

Live signal Grouped market event

Presidential Election Winner 2028

100.0% No

$231.5K 24h $60.7M liquidity Nov 7, 2028

Live signal Date ladder

Kharg Island Iranian Control Deadline: August 31 Market Odds

99.8% September 30

$233.0K 24h $311.1K liquidity Oct 1, 2026

Live signal Grouped market event

Can Karen Bass Secure the Los Angeles Mayoral Seat on June 2, 2026?

58.1% Yes

$206.8K 24h $231.1K liquidity Dec 31, 2026

Live signal Price threshold range

How Many Fed Rate Cuts Will Occur in 2026? Market Odds to Dec 31 2026

0 (0 bps)-1 (25 bps) 0 (0 bps)-1 (25 bps)

$232.1K 24h $3.6M liquidity Dec 31, 2026

Live signal Date ladder

Will Israel Close Its Airspace by September 30?

96.9% September 30

$173.0K 24h $122.4K liquidity Oct 1, 2026

Live signal Price threshold range

Will Bitcoin Hit a New All‑Time High by June 30 2026?

Below September 30, 2026 Below September 30, 2026

$223.4K 24h $160.7K liquidity Oct 1, 2026

Live signal Grouped market event

Who will become Israel’s Prime Minister after the Oct 27 2026 election?

100.0% No

$261.7K 24h $2.9M liquidity Oct 27, 2026

Live signal Grouped market event

Venezuela Leader 2026: Maduro Dominates, Trump and Rubio Near Zero

100.0% No

$260.1K 24h $2.2M liquidity Dec 31, 2026

Tracked markets

Tracked Grouped market event

Will the US‑Iran ceasefire hold through May 24? Market odds and key triggers explained

100.0% Yes

$2.1M 24h $3.3M liquidity N/A

Tracked Price threshold range

SpaceX IPO Valuation: Will Market Cap Hit $2T or More on Trading Day One?

Above 2.0T-2.5T Above 2.0T-2.5T

$908.7K 24h $60.4K liquidity N/A

Tracked Price threshold range

What price will Bitcoin hit September 21-27?

Below ↓ 68,000 Below ↓ 68,000

$205.1K 24h $720.5K liquidity Sep 28, 2026

Tracked Binary market

China-Taiwan Invasion Odds by Sept 30 2026: What the Market Is Pricing

98.7% No

$324.6K 24h $159.4K liquidity Sep 30, 2026

Tracked Price threshold range

Kai and Speed Minecraft Marathon Death Count: 30-49 vs 50-69 Odds by Sept 30

Above 30-49 Above 30-49

$230.0K 24h $24.6K liquidity Sep 30, 2026

Tracked Grouped market event

Anthropic vs OpenAI: Who Will Top the September 2026 AI Leaderboard?

100.0% No

$202.1K 24h $1.4M liquidity Oct 1, 2026

Tracked Binary market

Trump out as President by September 30?

99.5% No

$262.5K 24h $194.6K liquidity Oct 1, 2026

Tracked Date ladder

Saudi East-West Pipeline Restart by September 30: Market Prices 62% Yes

58.0% September 30

$321.3K 24h $136.9K liquidity Oct 1, 2026

Tracked Price threshold range

Ethereum September Price Range: Where the Market Sets the Floor and Ceiling

↑ 2,700-↓ 1,500 ↑ 2,700-↓ 1,500

$236.5K 24h $1.6M liquidity Oct 1, 2026

Tracked Grouped market event

Brazil 2026 Election: Who Will Finish Second in First Round?

100.0% No

$252.8K 24h $2.1M liquidity Oct 4, 2026

Tracked Grouped market event

Will Donald Trump win the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize by March 31 2027?

100.0% No

$279.9K 24h $2.2M liquidity Oct 10, 2026

Tracked Grouped market event

Who Will Win California’s 2026 Gubernatorial Race on Nov 3, 2026?

100.0% No

$1.5M 24h $6.6M liquidity Nov 3, 2026

Tracked Grouped market event

Which party will win the House in 2026?

92.5% Yes

$369.2K 24h $1.7M liquidity Nov 3, 2026

Tracked Grouped market event

Maine Senate 2026: Democrats Favored Over Collins in Market Pricing

68.5% Yes

$219.1K 24h $197.6K liquidity Nov 3, 2026

Tracked Grouped market event

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

62.5% Yes

$213.2K 24h $1.1M liquidity Nov 3, 2026

Tracked Binary market

Will the Fed Raise Interest Rates in 2026? Market Odds and Probabilities

100.0% Yes

$344.2K 24h $184.6K liquidity Dec 9, 2026

Tracked Date ladder

Fed rate hike by…?

100.0% September Meeting

$300.2K 24h $316.1K liquidity Dec 9, 2026

Tracked Date ladder

Satoshi’s identity be proven by…?

94.0% December 31

$723.2K 24h $45.9K liquidity Dec 31, 2026

Tracked Grouped market event

Iran leader end of 2026?

99.9% No

$382.2K 24h $2.1M liquidity Dec 31, 2026

Tracked Price threshold range

Will UK PM Keir Starmer be ousted before Dec 31 2026? Market odds and outlook

Starmer - UK PM-None before 2027 Starmer - UK PM-None before 2027

$519.4K 24h $1.5M liquidity Dec 31, 2026

Tracked Price threshold range

Andy Burnham Leads Market on Becoming UK Prime Minister in 2026

Andy Burnham-No Next PM in 2026 Andy Burnham-No Next PM in 2026

$568.2K 24h $2.5M liquidity Dec 31, 2026

Tracked Grouped market event

Which Film Will Lead the U.S. Box Office in 2026? Market Odds Ahead of Dec 31 Resolution

99.7% No

$433.5K 24h $1.4M liquidity Dec 31, 2026

Tracked Date ladder

Which firm will secure the largest IPO market cap in 2026 by year‑end?

100.0% SHEIN

$711.0K 24h $475.7K liquidity Dec 31, 2026

Tracked Binary market

Will the U.S. Commit a NATO‑Style Defense Pact for Ukraine by June 30 2026?

99.9% No

$419.7K 24h $34.4K liquidity Dec 31, 2026

Tracked Date ladder

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by…?

91.5% December 31

$361.4K 24h $304.9K liquidity Dec 31, 2026

Tracked Binary market

Islamic Republic Collapse by Dec 31 2026: What 11% Yes Implies

92.5% No

$353.4K 24h $565.2K liquidity Dec 31, 2026

Tracked Binary market

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

100.0% Yes

$684.9K 24h $179.7K liquidity Dec 31, 2026

Tracked Date ladder

Will Apple Be the Largest Company by Market Cap on December 31, 2026?

80.6% Apple

$302.5K 24h $1.1M liquidity Dec 31, 2026

Tracked Date ladder

Main market: “Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?” (market_id 677366)

100.0% December 31, 2026

$587.6K 24h $585.8K liquidity Dec 31, 2026

Tracked Date ladder

Which Nations Will Officially Recognize Israel by Dec. 31, 2026?

87.5% Venezuela

$189.2K 24h $236.4K liquidity Dec 31, 2026

Tracked Date ladder

Will Hamas Disarm by December 31, 2026? Market Signals and Deadline Analysis

66.0% December 31, 2026

$400.7K 24h $99.0K liquidity Dec 31, 2026

Tracked Price threshold range

Next GPT Model: Will OpenAI Hit 1460 Score by December 2026?

1450+-1460+ 1450+-1460+

$317.3K 24h $2.6M liquidity Dec 31, 2026

Tracked Date ladder

Company: CXMT (ChangXin Memory Technologies, a Chinese DRAM maker)

100.0% 400B+ yuan

$2.1M 24h $135.0K liquidity Dec 31, 2026

Tracked Grouped market event

Which company does Ox Alpha belong to?

100.0% Yes

$640.2K 24h $363.2K liquidity Dec 31, 2026

Tracked Date ladder

Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by…?

95.5% December 31, 2026

$240.0K 24h $92.6K liquidity Dec 31, 2026

Tracked Price threshold range

LAPTOP Token FDV Range: $350M to $1B After Launch?

Below $1B Below $1B

$1.7M 24h $190.0K liquidity Dec 31, 2026

Tracked Date ladder

OpenAI IPO by Dec 31, 2026: Market Cap Range Odds Priced In

92.3% No IPO by December 31, 2026

$198.7K 24h $263.4K liquidity Jan 1, 2027

Tracked Price threshold range

Ethereum Price Prediction 2026: Will ETH Hit $2,250 or Drop to $500 by Dec 31?

↑ 3,000-↓ 500 ↑ 3,000-↓ 500

$231.5K 24h $1.8M liquidity Jan 1, 2027

Tracked Binary market

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

93.7% No

$267.3K 24h $311.6K liquidity Jan 1, 2027

Tracked Date ladder

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

91.3% ↑$4.0T

$216.8K 24h $263.6K liquidity Jan 1, 2027

Tracked Price threshold range

Clacton By-Election: Will Nigel Farage Win 70-80% of Votes?

Above Farage 60–70% Above Farage 60–70%

$1.4M 24h $26.3K liquidity Jun 30, 2027

Tracked Date ladder

Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? Market Prices 99.8% No After Missed Deadlines

89.8% October 31, 2026

$200.0K 24h $144.0K liquidity Jul 1, 2027

Tracked Price threshold range

Will SpaceX IPO close above $2.4 trillion by Dec 31 2027?

>$2T->$2.2T >$2T->$2.2T

$8.9M 24h $3.3M liquidity Dec 31, 2027

Tracked Binary market

Let me craft something that captures the specific event, deadline

90.5% No

$311.3K 24h $232.7K liquidity Dec 31, 2027

Tracked Price threshold range

Event: Variational governance token launch and FDV (Fully Diluted Valuation) one day aft…

$800M-$2B $800M-$2B

$258.1K 24h $367.2K liquidity Jan 1, 2028

Closed market records

Closed Price threshold range

Bitcoin above ___ on September 26?

Above 84,000 Above 84,000

$821.0K 24h $1.3M liquidity Sep 26, 2026

Closed Price threshold range

Elon Musk Tweet Count Market: 40-64 vs 65-89 by September 26

40-64-65-89 40-64-65-89

$239.8K 24h $169.8K liquidity Sep 26, 2026

Closed Price threshold range

Will Bitcoin dip below $77,000 on September 25?

Below ↓ 77,000 Below ↓ 77,000

$214.3K 24h $321.1K liquidity Sep 26, 2026

Closed Archived market

We have market: “Elon Musk # tweets September 18 – September 25, 2026?” The question: “W…

100.0% No

$888.5K 24h $1.0M liquidity Sep 25, 2026

Closed Price threshold range

Bitcoin above $84,000 by Sept 25? Will it break?

80,000-84,000 80,000-84,000

$1.5M 24h $1.3M liquidity Sep 25, 2026

Closed Archived market

Ethereum above ___ on September 25?

100.0% Yes

$343.2K 24h $906.8K liquidity Sep 25, 2026

Closed Price threshold range

Event: Bitcoin price on September 25, 2026

82,000-84,000-<72,000 82,000-84,000-<72,000

$177.0K 24h $1.0M liquidity Sep 25, 2026

Closed Price threshold range

Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on September 24?

Below ↓ 76,000 Below ↓ 76,000

$299.0K 24h $418.4K liquidity Sep 25, 2026

Closed Price threshold range

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 24?

Above 84,000 Above 84,000

$897.3K 24h $1.9M liquidity Sep 24, 2026

Closed Price threshold range

Ethereum $2,700 Threshold on Sept 24: Binance Price Check Odds

2,600-2,700 2,600-2,700

$191.8K 24h $408.8K liquidity Sep 24, 2026