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Elon Musk # tweets July 3 – July 10, 2026?

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 3 12:00 PM ET to July 10, 2026 12:00 PM…

Live marketPrice threshold range

Elon Musk # tweets July 3 - July 10, 2026?

This is a threshold ladder. The useful signal is the implied range, not every single strike.

Primary signalBelow 140-159
ProbabilityPrice threshold range
ResolutionJul 10, 2026
ResolutionJul 10, 2026
Signal board

Price, depth and useful dates

An editorial view of the signal: what leads, how much activity is behind it, and which date carries the risk.

Source on Polymarket
Price threshold rangeBelow 140-159Implied range
Total volume$3.7MAll-time traded activity
24 hour volume$1.2MRecent market attention
Liquidity$1.0MDepth available around prices
Open interest$453.5KCapital still exposed
ResolutionJul 10, 2026Next active phase close
Price convictionUnclearNo reliable leading probability available.
Active scenarios

Price threshold range

Open phases only
160-179No side
51.0%
180-199No side
61.9%
200-219No side
89.2%
220-239No side
97.8%
Editorial analysisCurrent situation and market structure

What is happening now

The Polymarket event “Elon Musk # tweets July 3 – July 10, 2026?” is live and will close on July 10, 2026 at 16:00 UTC. As of the latest data (July 4, 2026 12:20 UTC), the market has attracted $751 k in total trading volume and holds $1.0 M in combined liquidity. The order book shows a clear hierarchy of outcomes, with the “No” side dominating every range, especially the highest‑range market “500+ tweets” where the “No” outcome trades at 100 % probability. The platform’s official “Post Counter” at xtracker.polymarket.com is the primary resolution source, with X itself available as a secondary check.

How the market is structured

This is a price‑range ladder rather than a binary YES/NO question. Polymarket created 26 separate markets, each tied to a specific tweet‑count band:

  • 0‑19, 20‑39, 40‑59, 60‑79, 80‑99, 100‑119, 120‑139, 140‑159, 160‑179, 180‑199, 200‑219, 220‑239, 240‑259, 260‑279, 280‑299, 300‑319, 320‑339, 340‑359, 360‑379, 380‑
    Editorial market brief.
    This analysis is provided for informational and editorial purposes only. Market signal prices reflect market-implied expectations, not verified outcomes or recommendations. Markets can be illiquid, volatile, and subject to ambiguous resolution criteria.