Market: Clacton by-election Winner. The
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage. This market will resolve…
Closed marketArchived market
Clacton by-election Winner
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?
Primary signalYes
Probability100.0%
ResolutionAug 13, 2026
ResolutionAug 13, 2026
Signal board
Source on PolymarketPrice, depth and useful dates
An editorial view of the signal: what leads, how much activity is behind it, and which date carries the risk.
Archived marketYesYes
Total volume$5.7MAll-time traded activity
24 hour volume$569.5KRecent market attention
Liquidity$284.5KDepth available around prices
Open interest$1.5MCapital still exposed
ResolutionAug 13, 2026Next active phase close
Price convictionStrongLeader is priced with very high conviction.
Active scenarios
Open phases onlyArchived market
100.0%
0.1%
Editorial analysisCurrent situation and market structure
What is happening
Editorial market brief.
This analysis is provided for informational and editorial purposes only. Market signal prices reflect market-implied expectations, not verified outcomes or recommendations. Markets can be illiquid, volatile, and subject to ambiguous resolution criteria.
This analysis is provided for informational and editorial purposes only. Market signal prices reflect market-implied expectations, not verified outcomes or recommendations. Markets can be illiquid, volatile, and subject to ambiguous resolution criteria.