Market: Clacton by-election Winner. The

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage. This market will resolve…

Tracked marketGrouped market event

Clacton by-election Winner

The market has several possible outcomes. The display focuses on the highest priced live outcomes.

Primary signalNo
Probability100.0%
ResolutionJun 30, 2027
ResolutionJun 30, 2027
Signal board

Price, depth and useful dates

An editorial view of the signal: what leads, how much activity is behind it, and which date carries the risk.

Source on Polymarket
Grouped market eventNoLeading outcome
Total volume$1.8MAll-time traded activity
24 hour volume$252.7KRecent market attention
Liquidity$697.7KDepth available around prices
Open interest$1.2MCapital still exposed
ResolutionJun 30, 2027Next active phase close
Price convictionStrongLeader is priced with very high conviction.
Active scenarios

Grouped market event

Open phases only
NoWill Giles Watling win the Clacton by-election?
100.0%
NoWill Matthew Bensilum win the Clacton by-election?
100.0%
NoWill Natasha Osben win the Clacton by-election?
100.0%
NoWill Tony Mack win the Clacton by-election?
100.0%
NoWill Jovan Owusu-Nepaul win the Clacton by-election?
99.9%
Editorial analysisCurrent situation and market structure

What is happening

Editorial market brief.
This analysis is provided for informational and editorial purposes only. Market signal prices reflect market-implied expectations, not verified outcomes or recommendations. Markets can be illiquid, volatile, and subject to ambiguous resolution criteria.