Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the party Alternative for…

Closed marketArchived market

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

Primary signalNo
Probability100.0%
ResolutionSep 6, 2026
ResolutionSep 6, 2026
Signal board

Price, depth and useful dates

An editorial view of the signal: what leads, how much activity is behind it, and which date carries the risk.

Source on Polymarket
Archived marketNoNo
Total volume$1.4MAll-time traded activity
24 hour volume$832.6KRecent market attention
Liquidity$124.5KDepth available around prices
Open interest$629.3KCapital still exposed
ResolutionSep 6, 2026Next active phase close
Price convictionStrongLeader is priced with very high conviction.
Active scenarios

Archived market

Open phases only
NoWill AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
100.0%
YesWill AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
0.1%
Editorial analysisCurrent situation and market structure

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Editorial market brief.
This analysis is provided for informational and editorial purposes only. Market signal prices reflect market-implied expectations, not verified outcomes or recommendations. Markets can be illiquid, volatile, and subject to ambiguous resolution criteria.