Bitcoin above ___ on September 15?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has…

Live marketPrice threshold range

Bitcoin above ___ on September 15?

This is a threshold ladder. The useful signal is the implied range, not every single strike.

Primary signal78,000-80,000
ProbabilityPrice threshold range
ResolutionSep 15, 2026
ResolutionSep 15, 2026
Signal board

Price, depth and useful dates

An editorial view of the signal: what leads, how much activity is behind it, and which date carries the risk.

Source on Polymarket
Price threshold range78,000-80,000Implied range
Total volume$708.0KAll-time traded activity
24 hour volume$561.2KRecent market attention
Liquidity$481.6KDepth available around prices
Open interest$440.2KCapital still exposed
ResolutionSep 15, 2026Next active phase close
Price convictionUnclearNo reliable leading probability available.
Active scenarios

Price threshold range

Open phases only
80,000No side
70.2%
78,000Yes side
82.5%
82,000No side
93.6%
76,000Yes side
97.9%
Editorial analysisCurrent situation and market structure

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Editorial market brief.
This analysis is provided for informational and editorial purposes only. Market signal prices reflect market-implied expectations, not verified outcomes or recommendations. Markets can be illiquid, volatile, and subject to ambiguous resolution criteria.