Ethereum above ___ on October 13?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the…

Closed marketPrice threshold range

Ethereum above ___ on October 13?

This is a threshold ladder. The useful signal is the implied range, not every single strike.

Primary signal2,500-2,600
ProbabilityPrice threshold range
ResolutionOct 13, 2026
ResolutionOct 13, 2026
Signal board

Price, depth and useful dates

An editorial view of the signal: what leads, how much activity is behind it, and which date carries the risk.

Source on Polymarket
Price threshold range2,500-2,600Implied range
Total volume$349.2KAll-time traded activity
24 hour volume$250.5KRecent market attention
Liquidity$506.9KDepth available around prices
Open interest$202.9KCapital still exposed
ResolutionOct 13, 2026Next active phase close
Price convictionUnclearNo reliable leading probability available.
Active scenarios

Price threshold range

Open phases only
2,500Yes side
95.5%
2,600No side
99.6%
2,700No side
100.0%
2,800No side
100.0%
Editorial analysisCurrent situation and market structure

What is happening now

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 13? matters because it is tied to a concrete event with a defined resolution path, not a broad sentiment question.

Resolution detail: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according…

How the market is structured

This is a price range or threshold event. The useful reading is the ladder of levels, not a single YES/NO line. The leading priced outcome is 2,500 leads near 91.5%, while other ranges show where traders see less probable breakpoints.

Path to the leading outcome

The leading outcome would require evidence that directly satisfies the market wording before the relevant deadline, ideally from primary sources or clearly verifiable reporting.

What could change the pricing

Pricing could move away from the leader if the deadline approaches without qualifying evidence, if official sources contradict the premise, or if alternative outcomes gain clearer support.

What to verify next

  • The market rules and resolution source.
  • Primary-source statements connected to the event.
  • Whether new reporting changes the exact condition in the question.
  • Liquidity and trade size behind any sharp repricing.

Editorial read

This is a threshold ladder, so the signal is the implied boundary rather than a simple YES/NO result. The compact read is 2,500-2,600, with 11 active strikes around the resolution window. Liquidity and 24-hour volume matter most here because prices can snap toward settlement as the reference price approaches the deadline.

The market should be read through the exact resolution wording and the quality of the latest evidence, not through a broad headline interpretation.

Editorial market brief.
This analysis is provided for informational and editorial purposes only. Market signal prices reflect market-implied expectations, not verified outcomes or recommendations. Markets can be illiquid, volatile, and subject to ambiguous resolution criteria.