Will GPT-6 Be Released by September 15, 2026?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will…
Live marketDeadline map
GPT-6 released by…?
Several deadline markets are grouped under one Polymarket event. Closed dates are archived; the live view focuses only on active deadlines.
Primary signalSeptember 30, 2026
Probability92.5%
ResolutionSep 16, 2026
ResolutionSep 16, 2026
Signal board
Source on PolymarketPrice, depth and useful dates
An editorial view of the signal: what leads, how much activity is behind it, and which date carries the risk.
Deadline mapSeptember 30, 2026Yes
Total volume$2.1MAll-time traded activity
24 hour volume$333.3KRecent market attention
Liquidity$111.8KDepth available around prices
Open interest$304.9KCapital still exposed
ResolutionSep 16, 2026Next active phase close
Price convictionStrongLeader is priced with very high conviction.
Active scenarios
Open phases onlyDeadline map
86.0%
92.5%
94.0%
94.5%
97.0%
Editorial analysisCurrent situation and market structure
OpenAI GPT-6 release timeline 2026 rumors roadmap
OpenAI GPT-5 release date 2026 status
Sam Altman OpenAI GPT-6 comments 2026
Editorial market brief.
This analysis is provided for informational and editorial purposes only. Market signal prices reflect market-implied expectations, not verified outcomes or recommendations. Markets can be illiquid, volatile, and subject to ambiguous resolution criteria.
This analysis is provided for informational and editorial purposes only. Market signal prices reflect market-implied expectations, not verified outcomes or recommendations. Markets can be illiquid, volatile, and subject to ambiguous resolution criteria.