Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14: 19% Yes Odds and What Triggers Resolution
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a diplomatic agreement between Oman and Iran over traffic in the strait of Hormuz is announced by the specified date, 11:59…
Closed marketDeadline map
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?
Several deadline markets are grouped under one Polymarket event. Closed dates are archived; the live view focuses only on active deadlines.
Primary signalSeptember 14
Probability99.2%
ResolutionSep 14, 2026
ResolutionSep 14, 2026
Signal board
Source on PolymarketPrice, depth and useful dates
An editorial view of the signal: what leads, how much activity is behind it, and which date carries the risk.
Deadline mapSeptember 14No
Total volume$2.4MAll-time traded activity
24 hour volume$243.6KRecent market attention
Liquidity$148.9KDepth available around prices
Open interest$408.1KCapital still exposed
ResolutionSep 14, 2026Next active phase close
Price convictionStrongLeader is priced with very high conviction.
Active scenarios
Open phases onlyDeadline map
99.2%
89.0%
80.0%
57.5%
Editorial analysisCurrent situation and market structure
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Editorial market brief.
This analysis is provided for informational and editorial purposes only. Market signal prices reflect market-implied expectations, not verified outcomes or recommendations. Markets can be illiquid, volatile, and subject to ambiguous resolution criteria.
This analysis is provided for informational and editorial purposes only. Market signal prices reflect market-implied expectations, not verified outcomes or recommendations. Markets can be illiquid, volatile, and subject to ambiguous resolution criteria.