Kai Cenat finishes GTA marathon by…?

Kai Cenat is scheduled to begin a Grand Theft Auto marathon on November 5, 2026, with the stated goal of playing Grand Theft Auto III, Grand Theft Auto:…

Live marketDeadline map

Kai Cenat finishes GTA marathon by...?

Several deadline markets are grouped under one Polymarket event. Closed dates are archived; the live view focuses only on active deadlines.

Primary signalNovember 10 (11:59 PM ET)
Probability87.2%
ResolutionNov 11, 2026
ResolutionNov 11, 2026
Signal board

Price, depth and useful dates

An editorial view of the signal: what leads, how much activity is behind it, and which date carries the risk.

Source on Polymarket
Deadline mapNovember 10 (11:59 PM ET)No
Total volume$1.6MAll-time traded activity
24 hour volume$848.0KRecent market attention
Liquidity$120.1KDepth available around prices
Open interest$613.6KCapital still exposed
ResolutionNov 11, 2026Next active phase close
Price convictionLeaningMarket favors the leader, but with room to move.
Active scenarios

Deadline map

Open phases only
November 10 (11:59 PM ET)No side
87.2%
November 11 (7:59 AM ET)Yes side
72.0%
November 11 (2:59 PM ET)Yes side
87.0%
November 11 (11:59 PM ET)Yes side
96.1%
November 12 (11:59 PM ET)Yes side
97.2%
Editorial analysisCurrent situation and market structure

What is happening now

Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10? matters because it is tied to a concrete event with a defined resolution path, not a broad sentiment question.

Resolution detail: Kai Cenat is scheduled to begin a Grand Theft Auto marathon on November 5, 2026, with the stated goal of playing Grand Theft Auto III, Grand Theft Auto: Vice City, Grand Theft Auto: San Andreas, Grand Theft Auto IV, and Grand Theft Auto V on stream. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kai Cenat finishes playing Grand Theft Auto games live on stream, as accepted by him as a successful completion of the marathon, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve…

How the market is structured

This is a date-ladder event. The market is asking when the condition happens, so the relative prices across dates are more useful than any one binary probability. The current leading priced outcome is November 7 (11:59 PM ET) leads near 100.0%.

Path to the leading outcome

The leading outcome would require evidence that directly satisfies the market wording before the relevant deadline, ideally from primary sources or clearly verifiable reporting.

What could change the pricing

Pricing could move away from the leader if the deadline approaches without qualifying evidence, if official sources contradict the premise, or if alternative outcomes gain clearer support.

What to verify next

  • The market rules and resolution source.
  • Primary-source statements connected to the event.
  • Whether new reporting changes the exact condition in the question.
  • Liquidity and trade size behind any sharp repricing.

Editorial read

This Polymarket event groups several deadline markets. The current primary live phase is November 10 (11:59 PM ET), led by No near 83.5%. Closed phases are kept out of the live board and retained only as history. The useful reading is how attention moves across 10 active phases, with $205.1K in 24-hour volume, $49.0K in visible liquidity, and $104.5K in open interest.

The market should be read through the exact resolution wording and the quality of the latest evidence, not through a broad headline interpretation.

Editorial market brief.
This analysis is provided for informational and editorial purposes only. Market signal prices reflect market-implied expectations, not verified outcomes or recommendations. Markets can be illiquid, volatile, and subject to ambiguous resolution criteria.