Maine Senate 2026: Democrats Favored Over Collins in Market Pricing
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a…
Tracked marketGrouped market event
Maine Senate Election Winner
The market has several possible outcomes. The display focuses on the highest priced live outcomes.
Primary signalYes
Probability68.5%
ResolutionNov 3, 2026
ResolutionNov 3, 2026
Signal board
Source on PolymarketPrice, depth and useful dates
An editorial view of the signal: what leads, how much activity is behind it, and which date carries the risk.
Grouped market eventYesLeading outcome
Total volume$1.9MAll-time traded activity
24 hour volume$219.1KRecent market attention
Liquidity$197.6KDepth available around prices
Open interest$708.0KCapital still exposed
ResolutionNov 3, 2026Next active phase close
Price convictionNarrowLeader has only a modest edge.
Active scenarios
Open phases onlyGrouped market event
68.5%
68.5%
31.5%
31.5%
Editorial analysisCurrent situation and market structure
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query
Maine Senate race 2026 Troy Jackson Susan Collins polling
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Maine Senate election 2026 latest polls predictions
Editorial market brief.
This analysis is provided for informational and editorial purposes only. Market signal prices reflect market-implied expectations, not verified outcomes or recommendations. Markets can be illiquid, volatile, and subject to ambiguous resolution criteria.
This analysis is provided for informational and editorial purposes only. Market signal prices reflect market-implied expectations, not verified outcomes or recommendations. Markets can be illiquid, volatile, and subject to ambiguous resolution criteria.