Sachsen-Anhalt Election: Will AfD Win Under 39% of Valid Second Votes by Sep 6?
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second…
Closed marketArchived market
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: AfD Vote Share?
Will AfD win less than 39% of all valid second votes?
Primary signalNo
Probability100.0%
ResolutionSep 6, 2026
ResolutionSep 6, 2026
Signal board
Source on PolymarketPrice, depth and useful dates
An editorial view of the signal: what leads, how much activity is behind it, and which date carries the risk.
Archived marketNoNo
Total volume$373.4KAll-time traded activity
24 hour volume$241.4KRecent market attention
Liquidity$132.5KDepth available around prices
Open interest$186.5KCapital still exposed
ResolutionSep 6, 2026Next active phase close
Price convictionStrongLeader is priced with very high conviction.
Active scenarios
Open phases onlyArchived market
100.0%
0.1%
Editorial analysisCurrent situation and market structure
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Editorial market brief.
This analysis is provided for informational and editorial purposes only. Market signal prices reflect market-implied expectations, not verified outcomes or recommendations. Markets can be illiquid, volatile, and subject to ambiguous resolution criteria.
This analysis is provided for informational and editorial purposes only. Market signal prices reflect market-implied expectations, not verified outcomes or recommendations. Markets can be illiquid, volatile, and subject to ambiguous resolution criteria.