Tropical Storm Saudel Landfall: China, Japan, South Korea Odds After August 31 Deadline
Each market in this group asks whether Tropical Storm Saudel (JMA designation T2618) will make landfall in the country named in that market's title, on or before 11:59…
Closed marketArchived market
Where will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall?
Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in China?
Primary signalYes
Probability100.0%
ResolutionSep 1, 2026
ResolutionSep 1, 2026
Signal board
Source on PolymarketPrice, depth and useful dates
An editorial view of the signal: what leads, how much activity is behind it, and which date carries the risk.
Archived marketYesYes
Total volume$487.2KAll-time traded activity
24 hour volume$249.2KRecent market attention
Liquidity$1.1MDepth available around prices
Open interest$271.9KCapital still exposed
ResolutionSep 1, 2026Next active phase close
Price convictionStrongLeader is priced with very high conviction.
Active scenarios
Open phases onlyArchived market
100.0%
0.0%
Editorial analysisCurrent situation and market structure
{
“tool”: “web-search”,
“arguments”: {
“query”: “Tropical Storm Saudel landfall China August 2026 JMA”
Editorial market brief.
This analysis is provided for informational and editorial purposes only. Market signal prices reflect market-implied expectations, not verified outcomes or recommendations. Markets can be illiquid, volatile, and subject to ambiguous resolution criteria.
This analysis is provided for informational and editorial purposes only. Market signal prices reflect market-implied expectations, not verified outcomes or recommendations. Markets can be illiquid, volatile, and subject to ambiguous resolution criteria.