Russia Eyes Kostyantynivka Capture by December 31, 2026 – Market Odds and Key Drivers Ex…

This is a market on the likelihood of Russia capturing Kostyantynivka by a specific date.

July 13, 2026The Cryptocurrency Post Editorial Team

Closed marketDeadline map

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?

Several deadline markets are grouped under one Polymarket event. Closed dates are archived; the live view focuses only on active deadlines.

Primary signalDecember 31, 2026

Probability94.7%

ResolutionJul 31, 2026

Signal board

Price, depth and useful dates

An editorial view of the signal: what leads, how much activity is behind it, and which date carries the risk.

Source on Polymarket

Deadline mapDecember 31, 2026Yes

Total volume$7.8MAll-time traded activity

24 hour volume$215.1KRecent market attention

Liquidity$216.9KDepth available around prices

Open interest$482.9KCapital still exposed

ResolutionJul 31, 2026Next active phase close

Price convictionStrongLeader is priced with very high conviction.

Active scenarios

Deadline map

Open phases only

July 31, 2026No side

57.0%

August 31, 2026Yes side

76.0%

September 30, 2026Yes side

88.0%

December 31, 2026Yes side

94.7%

Editorial analysisCurrent situation and market structure

I need to research the current military situation in Kostyantynivka to understand what’s driving these market prices. Let me check recent developments.
search_web>
query
filter_year
2026
num_results
10
q
Kostyantynivka Ukraine Russia capture 2026 ISW Institute for the Study of War
sort_by
date

date

query
Kostyantynivka Ukraine Russia capture 2026 ISW Institute for the Study of War
filter_year
2026
num_results
10
sort_by
date

date

filter_year
2026
num_results
10
sort_by
date
q
Kostyantynivka Ukraine Russia capture 2026 ISW Institute for the Study of War
query
Kostyantynivka Ukraine Russia capture 2026 ISW Institute for the Study of War
filter_year
2026
num_results
10
sort_by
date
q
Kostyantynivka Ukraine Russia capture 2026 ISW Institute for the Study of War
query
Kostyantynivka Ukraine Russia capture 2026 ISW Institute for the Study of War
filter_year
2026
num_results
10
sort_by
date
q
Kostyantynivka Ukraine Russia capture 2026 ISW Institute for the Study of War
query
Kostyantynivka Ukraine Russia capture 2026 ISW Institute for the Study of War
filter_year
2026
num_results
10
sort_by
date
q
Kostyantynivka Ukraine Russia capture 2026 ISW Institute for the Study of War
query
Kostyantynivka Ukraine Russia capture 2026 ISW Institute for the Study of War
filter_year
2026
num_results
10
sort_by
date
q
Kostyantynivka Ukraine Russia capture 2026 ISW Institute for the Study of War
query
Kostyantynivka Ukraine Russia capture 2026 ISW Institute for the Study of War
filter_year
2026
num_results
10
sort_by
date
q
Kostyantynivka Ukraine Russia capture 2026 ISW Institute for the Study of War
query
Kostyantynivka Ukraine Russia capture 2026 ISW Institute for the Study of War
filter_year
2026
num_results
10
sort_by
date
q
Kostyantynivka Ukraine Russia capture 2026 ISW Institute for the Study of War
query
Kostyantynivka Ukraine Russia capture 2026 ISW Institute for the Study of War
filter_year
2026
num_results
10
sort_by
date
q
Kostyantynivka Ukraine Russia capture 2026 ISW Institute for the Study of War
query
Kostyantynivka Ukraine Russia capture 2026 ISW Institute for the Study of War
filter_year
2026
num_results
10
sort_by
date
q
Kostyantynivka Ukraine Russia capture 2026 ISW Institute for the Study of War
query
Kostyantynivka Ukraine Russia capture 2026 ISW Institute for the Study of War
filter_year
2026
num_results
10
sort_by
date
q
Kostyantynivka Ukraine Russia capture 2026 ISW Institute for the Study of War
query
Kostyantynivka Ukraine Russia capture 2026 ISW Institute for the Study of War
filter_year
2026
num_results
10
sort_by
date
q
Kostyantynivka Ukraine Russia capture 2026 ISW Institute for the Study of War
query
Kostyantynivka Ukraine Russia capture 2026 ISW Institute for the Study of War
filter_year
2026
num_results
10
sort_by
date
q
Kostyantynivka Ukraine Russia capture 2026 ISW Institute for the Study of War
query
Kostyantynivka Ukraine Russia capture 2026 ISW Institute for the Study of War
filter_year
2026
num_results
10
sort_by
date
q
Kostyantynivka Ukraine Russia capture 2026 ISW Institute for the Study of War
query
Kostyantynivka Ukraine Russia capture 2026 ISW Institute for the Study of War
filter_year
2026
num_results
10
sort_by
date
q
Kostyantynivka Ukraine Russia capture 2026 ISW Institute for the Study of War
query
Kostyantynivka Ukraine Russia capture 2026 ISW Institute for the Study of War
filter_year
2026
num_results
10
sort_by
date
q
Kostyantynivka Ukraine Russia capture 2026 ISW Institute for the Study of War
query
Kostyantynivka Ukraine Russia capture 2026 ISW Institute for the Study of War
filter_year</arg_key

Editorial market brief.
This analysis is provided for informational and editorial purposes only. Market signal prices reflect market-implied expectations, not verified outcomes or recommendations. Markets can be illiquid, volatile, and subject to ambiguous resolution criteria.