Prediction markets
Live prediction markets
Live signal
Grouped market event
Key elements to include: French presidential election 2027, the main contenders (Le Pen…
100.0%
No
Live signal
Price threshold range
Elon Musk # tweets October 13 – October 20, 2026?
Below 320-339
Below 320-339
Live signal
Price threshold range
What price will Bitcoin hit in October?
↑ 85,000-↓ 60,000
↑ 85,000-↓ 60,000
Live signal
Grouped market event
Will Donald Trump Secure the 2028 GOP Nomination Before Election Day?
100.0%
No
Live signal
Date ladder
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?
90.0%
No Hormuz Agreement
Live signal
Price threshold range
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
Below Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%
Below Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%
Live signal
Binary market
Will the U.S. Invade Iran Before 2027? Odds Climb Past 12% on Polymarket
84.5%
No
Live signal
Price threshold range
What price will Bitcoin hit on October 19?
Below ↓ 75,000
Below ↓ 75,000
Live signal
Price threshold range
Bitcoin 2026 price range: Dip below $55k or stay above $50k by Dec 31 2026?
↑ 90,000-↓ 5,000
↑ 90,000-↓ 5,000
Live signal
Grouped market event
Can Karen Bass Secure the Los Angeles Mayoral Seat on June 2, 2026?
58.7%
Yes
Live signal
Price threshold range
How Many Fed Rate Cuts Will Occur in 2026? Market Odds to Dec 31 2026
0 (0 bps)-1 (25 bps)
0 (0 bps)-1 (25 bps)
Live signal
Date ladder
Will Vladimir Putin Leave the Russian Presidency by December 31, 2026?
96.4%
December 31, 2026
Live signal
Grouped market event
Venezuela Leader 2026: Maduro Dominates, Trump and Rubio Near Zero
100.0%
No
Live signal
Price threshold range
Ethereum Price Prediction 2026: Will ETH Hit $2,250 or Drop to $500 by Dec 31?
↓ 2,250-↓ 500
↓ 2,250-↓ 500
Live signal
Price threshold range
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?
↑ $100-↓ $20
↑ $100-↓ $20
Tracked markets
Tracked
Grouped market event
Will the US‑Iran ceasefire hold through May 24? Market odds and key triggers explained
100.0%
Yes
Tracked
Price threshold range
SpaceX IPO Valuation: Will Market Cap Hit $2T or More on Trading Day One?
Above 2.0T-2.5T
Above 2.0T-2.5T
Tracked
Price threshold range
of views of Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer on week 1?
60-80M-<40M
60-80M-<40M
Tracked
Price threshold range
What price will Ethereum hit in October?
↑ 2,900-↓ 1,800
↑ 2,900-↓ 1,800
Tracked
Grouped market event
Who Will Win California’s 2026 Gubernatorial Race on Nov 3, 2026?
100.0%
No
Tracked
Grouped market event
Maine Senate 2026: Democrats Favored Over Collins in Market Pricing
68.5%
Yes
Tracked
Date ladder
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?
90.7%
No Hormuz Agreement
Tracked
Price threshold range
Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?
Oil ≥ $85; D Senate-Oil < $85; R Senate
Oil ≥ $85; D Senate-Oil < $85; R Senate
Tracked
Binary market
Will the Fed Raise Interest Rates in 2026? Market Odds and Probabilities
100.0%
Yes
Tracked
Date ladder
Fed December 2026 Rate Decision: 25 Bps Increase Priced at 74.5%
80.5%
No change
Tracked
Price threshold range
Will UK PM Keir Starmer be ousted before Dec 31 2026? Market odds and outlook
Starmer - UK PM-None before 2027
Starmer - UK PM-None before 2027
Tracked
Price threshold range
Andy Burnham Leads Market on Becoming UK Prime Minister in 2026
Andy Burnham-No Next PM in 2026
Andy Burnham-No Next PM in 2026
Tracked
Grouped market event
Which Film Will Lead the U.S. Box Office in 2026? Market Odds Ahead of Dec 31 Resolution
99.7%
No
Tracked
Date ladder
Which firm will secure the largest IPO market cap in 2026 by year‑end?
100.0%
SHEIN
Tracked
Binary market
Will the U.S. Commit a NATO‑Style Defense Pact for Ukraine by June 30 2026?
99.9%
No
Tracked
Date ladder
Will Apple Be the Largest Company by Market Cap on December 31, 2026?
80.6%
Apple
Tracked
Date ladder
Main market: “Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?” (market_id 677366)
100.0%
December 31, 2026
Tracked
Date ladder
Which Nations Will Officially Recognize Israel by Dec. 31, 2026?
87.5%
Venezuela
Tracked
Date ladder
Will Hamas Disarm by December 31, 2026? Market Signals and Deadline Analysis
66.0%
December 31, 2026
Tracked
Price threshold range
Next GPT Model: Will OpenAI Hit 1460 Score by December 2026?
1450+-1460+
1450+-1460+
Tracked
Date ladder
Company: CXMT (ChangXin Memory Technologies, a Chinese DRAM maker)
100.0%
400B+ yuan
Tracked
Price threshold range
LAPTOP Token FDV Range: $350M to $1B After Launch?
Below $1B
Below $1B
Tracked
Date ladder
OpenAI IPO by Dec 31, 2026: Market Cap Range Odds Priced In
92.3%
No IPO by December 31, 2026
Tracked
Date ladder
Will Oklahoma Enact Data Center Moratorium by Dec 31 2027?
81.0%
December 31, 2027
Tracked
Price threshold range
Clacton By-Election: Will Nigel Farage Win 70-80% of Votes?
Above Farage 60–70%
Above Farage 60–70%
Tracked
Date ladder
Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? Market Prices 99.8% No After Missed Deadlines
89.8%
October 31, 2026
Tracked
Price threshold range
Will SpaceX IPO close above $2.4 trillion by Dec 31 2027?
>$2T->$2.2T
>$2T->$2.2T
Tracked
Price threshold range
Event: Variational governance token launch and FDV (Fully Diluted Valuation) one day aft…
$800M-$2B
$800M-$2B
Closed market records
Closed
Price threshold range
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on August 26?
Below ↓ 72,000
Below ↓ 72,000
Closed
Price threshold range
Bitcoin Price on August 26: Where the $72K–$87K Strike Ladder Is Pointing
Below ↓ 72,000
Below ↓ 72,000
Closed
Archived market
Bitcoin Price Above $80,000 on August 26? Where the Threshold Ladder Stands
100.0%
Yes
Closed
Price threshold range
Elon Musk Tweet Count August 24-26, 2026: Market Pricing the Range
40-64-65-89
40-64-65-89
Closed
Archived market
South Carolina Senate Republican Primary 2026: Graham Nordone Leads, Norman Trails in Sp…
100.0%
No
Closed
Archived market
South Carolina Special Senate Republican Primary: Runoff Margin of Victory
100.0%
No
Closed
Price threshold range
What price will Bitcoin hit on August 24?
Below ↓ 69,000
Below ↓ 69,000