Live signal
Grouped market event
Will Donald Trump Secure the 2028 GOP Nomination Before Election Day?
100.0%
No
Prediction markets
Live prediction markets
Live signal
Date ladder
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
54.5%
No change
Live signal
Price threshold range
Bitcoin 2026 price range: Dip below $55k or stay above $50k by Dec 31 2026?
↑ 85,000-↓ 5,000
↑ 85,000-↓ 5,000
Live signal
Price threshold range
Bitcoin September Price Range: Where the $55K–$100K Ladder Is Now Pricing BTC
↑ 80,000-↓ 55,000
↑ 80,000-↓ 55,000
Live signal
Grouped market event
Who Will Win France’s 2027 Presidential Election? Market Odds to Apr 30 2027
99.9%
No
Live signal
Price threshold range
Will Bitcoin Close Above $78,000 on September 3, 2026?
76,000-78,000
76,000-78,000
Live signal
Price threshold range
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets Aug 28‑Sep 4 2026?
Below 140-159
Below 140-159
Live signal
Grouped market event
Brazil’s 2026 Presidential Race: Who Will Win on October 4?
100.0%
No
Live signal
Grouped market event
Who will become Israel’s Prime Minister after the Oct 27 2026 election?
99.9%
No
Live signal
Price threshold range
Bitcoin’s September 4 Close: Can It Hold Above $78,0
76,000-78,000
76,000-78,000
Live signal
Grouped market event
Event: Russian Parliamentary Election (State Duma) scheduled September 2026. Market: Whi…
100.0%
No
Live signal
Price threshold range
How Many Fed Rate Cuts Will Occur in 2026? Market Odds to Dec 31 2026
0 (0 bps)-1 (25 bps)
0 (0 bps)-1 (25 bps)
Live signal
Binary market
Will the U.S. Invade Iran Before 2027? Odds Climb Past 12% on Polymarket
84.5%
No
Live signal
Price threshold range
Bitcoin Price Targets Aug 31–Sep 6: What the Threshold Ladder Now Shows Between $64K and…
↑ 78,000-↓ 64,000
↑ 78,000-↓ 64,000
Tracked markets
Tracked
Grouped market event
Will the US‑Iran ceasefire hold through May 24? Market odds and key triggers explained
100.0%
Yes
Tracked
Price threshold range
SpaceX IPO Valuation: Will Market Cap Hit $2T or More on Trading Day One?
Above 2.0T-2.5T
Above 2.0T-2.5T
Tracked
Grouped market event
Swedish Election 2026: Who Will Become Prime Minister by Sept 13?
99.9%
No
Tracked
Grouped market event
Will United Russia Dominate the 2026 Russian Parliamentary Election? Deadline September…
99.8%
No
Tracked
Binary market
China-Taiwan Invasion Odds by Sept 30 2026: What the Market Is Pricing
98.7%
No
Tracked
Price threshold range
Kai and Speed Minecraft Marathon Death Count: 30-49 vs 50-69 Odds by Sept 30
Above 30-49
Above 30-49
Tracked
Price threshold range
WTI Crude Oil September 2026 Price Range: $20 to $150 Odds
↑ $95-↓ $20
↑ $95-↓ $20
Tracked
Price threshold range
Ethereum September Price Range: Where the Market Sets the Floor and Ceiling
↑ 2,500-↓ 1,500
↑ 2,500-↓ 1,500
Tracked
Grouped market event
Who Will Win California’s 2026 Gubernatorial Race on Nov 3, 2026?
100.0%
No
Tracked
Binary market
Will the Fed Raise Interest Rates in 2026? Market Odds and Probabilities
54.5%
Yes
Tracked
Price threshold range
Will UK PM Keir Starmer be ousted before Dec 31 2026? Market odds and outlook
Starmer - UK PM-None before 2027
Starmer - UK PM-None before 2027
Tracked
Price threshold range
Andy Burnham Leads Market on Becoming UK Prime Minister in 2026
Andy Burnham-No Next PM in 2026
Andy Burnham-No Next PM in 2026
Tracked
Grouped market event
Which Film Will Lead the U.S. Box Office in 2026? Market Odds Ahead of Dec 31 Resolution
99.7%
No
Tracked
Date ladder
Which firm will secure the largest IPO market cap in 2026 by year‑end?
100.0%
SHEIN
Tracked
Binary market
Will the U.S. Commit a NATO‑Style Defense Pact for Ukraine by June 30 2026?
99.9%
No
Tracked
Grouped market event
Venezuela Leader 2026: Maduro Dominates, Trump and Rubio Near Zero
100.0%
No
Tracked
Date ladder
Will Apple Be the Largest Company by Market Cap on December 31, 2026?
80.6%
Apple
Tracked
Date ladder
Main market: “Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?” (market_id 677366)
100.0%
December 31, 2026
Tracked
Date ladder
Which Nations Will Officially Recognize Israel by Dec. 31, 2026?
87.5%
Venezuela
Tracked
Date ladder
Will Hamas Disarm by December 31, 2026? Market Signals and Deadline Analysis
66.0%
December 31, 2026
Tracked
Price threshold range
Next GPT Model: Will OpenAI Hit 1460 Score by December 2026?
1450+-1460+
1450+-1460+
Tracked
Date ladder
Company: CXMT (ChangXin Memory Technologies, a Chinese DRAM maker)
100.0%
400B+ yuan
Tracked
Price threshold range
Ethereum Price Prediction 2026: Will ETH Hit $2,250 or Drop to $500 by Dec 31?
↑ 3,000-↓ 500
↑ 3,000-↓ 500
Tracked
Price threshold range
Clacton By-Election: Will Nigel Farage Win 70-80% of Votes?
Above Farage 60–70%
Above Farage 60–70%
Tracked
Price threshold range
Will SpaceX IPO close above $2.4 trillion by Dec 31 2027?
>$2T->$2.2T
>$2T->$2.2T
Closed market records
Closed
Archived market
Event: Elon Musk’s tweet count from June 4-6, 2026 (48-hour window)
100.0%
No
Closed
Price threshold range
Bitcoin on June 5: Will it dip below $60,000 or stay under $64,000?
Below ↓ 55,000
Below ↓ 55,000
Closed
Archived market
Bitcoin $66,000 Target by June 5 2026: Market Odds and What Could Shift Them
100.0%
No
Closed
Price threshold range
Bitcoin $58,000 Dip on June 3? Market Odds and Deadline Details
Below ↓ 58,000
Below ↓ 58,000
Closed
Archived market
Bitcoin $68,000 Threshold on June 3 2026: Market Odds and What Could Shift Them
100.0%
Yes
Closed
Archived market
Elon Musk’s Tweet Volume June 1-3, 2026: Market Odds and Thresholds
100.0%
No