Markets

Prediction markets

Live prediction markets

Live signal Grouped market event

Will Donald Trump Secure the 2028 GOP Nomination Before Election Day?

100.0% No

$3.2M 24h $55.4M liquidity Nov 7, 2028

Live signal Date ladder

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

54.5% No change

$2.9M 24h $5.2M liquidity Sep 16, 2026

Live signal Grouped market event

Presidential Election Winner 2028

100.0% No

$2.8M 24h $63.5M liquidity Nov 7, 2028

Live signal Price threshold range

Bitcoin 2026 price range: Dip below $55k or stay above $50k by Dec 31 2026?

↑ 85,000-↓ 5,000 ↑ 85,000-↓ 5,000

$553.7K 24h $3.9M liquidity Jan 1, 2027

Live signal Grouped market event

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

100.0% No

$542.2K 24h $80.3M liquidity Nov 7, 2028

Live signal Price threshold range

Bitcoin September Price Range: Where the $55K–$100K Ladder Is Now Pricing BTC

↑ 80,000-↓ 55,000 ↑ 80,000-↓ 55,000

$536.0K 24h $986.0K liquidity Oct 1, 2026

Live signal Grouped market event

Who Will Win France’s 2027 Presidential Election? Market Odds to Apr 30 2027

99.9% No

$535.9K 24h $16.5M liquidity Apr 30, 2027

Live signal Price threshold range

Will Bitcoin Close Above $78,000 on September 3, 2026?

76,000-78,000 76,000-78,000

$521.7K 24h $585.7K liquidity Sep 3, 2026

Live signal Price threshold range

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets Aug 28‑Sep 4 2026?

Below 140-159 Below 140-159

$511.1K 24h $623.2K liquidity Sep 4, 2026

Live signal Grouped market event

Brazil’s 2026 Presidential Race: Who Will Win on October 4?

100.0% No

$455.1K 24h $15.6M liquidity Oct 4, 2026

Live signal Grouped market event

Who will become Israel’s Prime Minister after the Oct 27 2026 election?

99.9% No

$367.8K 24h $2.5M liquidity Dec 31, 2026

Live signal Date ladder

Will GPT-6 Be Released by September 15, 2026?

86.0% September 15, 2026

$340.1K 24h $139.9K liquidity Sep 16, 2026

Live signal Price threshold range

Bitcoin’s September 4 Close: Can It Hold Above $78,0

76,000-78,000 76,000-78,000

$310.5K 24h $366.1K liquidity Sep 4, 2026

Live signal Grouped market event

Event: Russian Parliamentary Election (State Duma) scheduled September 2026. Market: Whi…

100.0% No

$293.9K 24h $2.6M liquidity Sep 30, 2026

Live signal Date ladder

Will US confirm alien existence by Dec 31 2026?

96.1% December 31

$183.8K 24h $1.0M liquidity Oct 1, 2026

Live signal Price threshold range

How Many Fed Rate Cuts Will Occur in 2026? Market Odds to Dec 31 2026

0 (0 bps)-1 (25 bps) 0 (0 bps)-1 (25 bps)

$258.8K 24h $4.2M liquidity Dec 31, 2026

Live signal Binary market

Will the U.S. Invade Iran Before 2027? Odds Climb Past 12% on Polymarket

84.5% No

$308.7K 24h $869.7K liquidity Jan 1, 2027

Live signal Price threshold range

Bitcoin Price Targets Aug 31–Sep 6: What the Threshold Ladder Now Shows Between $64K and…

↑ 78,000-↓ 64,000 ↑ 78,000-↓ 64,000

$283.2K 24h $272.9K liquidity Sep 7, 2026

Tracked markets

Tracked Grouped market event

Will the US‑Iran ceasefire hold through May 24? Market odds and key triggers explained

100.0% Yes

$2.1M 24h $3.3M liquidity N/A

Tracked Price threshold range

SpaceX IPO Valuation: Will Market Cap Hit $2T or More on Trading Day One?

Above 2.0T-2.5T Above 2.0T-2.5T

$908.7K 24h $60.4K liquidity N/A

Tracked Date ladder

Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to “Lake America” by…?

100.0% September 4

$432.7K 24h $393.6K liquidity Sep 4, 2026

Tracked Grouped market event

Swedish Election 2026: Who Will Become Prime Minister by Sept 13?

99.9% No

$561.6K 24h $544.2K liquidity Sep 13, 2026

Tracked Grouped market event

Will United Russia Dominate the 2026 Russian Parliamentary Election? Deadline September…

99.8% No

$263.1K 24h $755.4K liquidity Sep 30, 2026

Tracked Binary market

China-Taiwan Invasion Odds by Sept 30 2026: What the Market Is Pricing

98.7% No

$324.6K 24h $159.4K liquidity Sep 30, 2026

Tracked Binary market

Strait of Hormuz Ship Traffic to Hit 60-Day Average by Sept 30?

97.3% No

$345.2K 24h $592.7K liquidity Sep 30, 2026

Tracked Price threshold range

Kai and Speed Minecraft Marathon Death Count: 30-49 vs 50-69 Odds by Sept 30

Above 30-49 Above 30-49

$230.0K 24h $24.6K liquidity Sep 30, 2026

Tracked Price threshold range

WTI Crude Oil September 2026 Price Range: $20 to $150 Odds

↑ $95-↓ $20 ↑ $95-↓ $20

$284.9K 24h $677.1K liquidity Oct 1, 2026

Tracked Price threshold range

Ethereum September Price Range: Where the Market Sets the Floor and Ceiling

↑ 2,500-↓ 1,500 ↑ 2,500-↓ 1,500

$241.2K 24h $507.6K liquidity Oct 1, 2026

Tracked Grouped market event

Brazil 2026 Election: Who Will Finish Second in First Round?

100.0% No

$252.8K 24h $2.1M liquidity Oct 4, 2026

Tracked Grouped market event

Who Will Win California’s 2026 Gubernatorial Race on Nov 3, 2026?

100.0% No

$1.5M 24h $6.6M liquidity Nov 3, 2026

Tracked Binary market

Will the Fed Raise Interest Rates in 2026? Market Odds and Probabilities

54.5% Yes

$547.9K 24h $451.0K liquidity Dec 9, 2026

Tracked Date ladder

Satoshi’s identity be proven by…?

94.0% December 31

$723.2K 24h $45.9K liquidity Dec 31, 2026

Tracked Grouped market event

Iran leader end of 2026?

99.9% No

$382.2K 24h $2.1M liquidity Dec 31, 2026

Tracked Price threshold range

Will UK PM Keir Starmer be ousted before Dec 31 2026? Market odds and outlook

Starmer - UK PM-None before 2027 Starmer - UK PM-None before 2027

$519.4K 24h $1.5M liquidity Dec 31, 2026

Tracked Price threshold range

Andy Burnham Leads Market on Becoming UK Prime Minister in 2026

Andy Burnham-No Next PM in 2026 Andy Burnham-No Next PM in 2026

$568.2K 24h $2.5M liquidity Dec 31, 2026

Tracked Grouped market event

Which Film Will Lead the U.S. Box Office in 2026? Market Odds Ahead of Dec 31 Resolution

99.7% No

$433.5K 24h $1.4M liquidity Dec 31, 2026

Tracked Date ladder

Which firm will secure the largest IPO market cap in 2026 by year‑end?

100.0% SHEIN

$711.0K 24h $475.7K liquidity Dec 31, 2026

Tracked Binary market

Will the U.S. Commit a NATO‑Style Defense Pact for Ukraine by June 30 2026?

99.9% No

$419.7K 24h $34.4K liquidity Dec 31, 2026

Tracked Binary market

Will Strait of Hormuz Shipping Traffic Normalize by Dec 31,

66.5% No

$236.4K 24h $371.3K liquidity Dec 31, 2026

Tracked Grouped market event

Venezuela Leader 2026: Maduro Dominates, Trump and Rubio Near Zero

100.0% No

$272.8K 24h $2.2M liquidity Dec 31, 2026

Tracked Date ladder

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by…?

91.5% December 31

$361.4K 24h $304.9K liquidity Dec 31, 2026

Tracked Binary market

Islamic Republic Collapse by Dec 31 2026: What 11% Yes Implies

92.5% No

$353.4K 24h $565.2K liquidity Dec 31, 2026

Tracked Binary market

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

100.0% Yes

$684.9K 24h $179.7K liquidity Dec 31, 2026

Tracked Date ladder

Will Apple Be the Largest Company by Market Cap on December 31, 2026?

80.6% Apple

$302.5K 24h $1.1M liquidity Dec 31, 2026

Tracked Date ladder

Main market: “Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?” (market_id 677366)

100.0% December 31, 2026

$587.6K 24h $585.8K liquidity Dec 31, 2026

Tracked Date ladder

Which Nations Will Officially Recognize Israel by Dec. 31, 2026?

87.5% Venezuela

$189.2K 24h $236.4K liquidity Dec 31, 2026

Tracked Date ladder

Will Hamas Disarm by December 31, 2026? Market Signals and Deadline Analysis

66.0% December 31, 2026

$400.7K 24h $99.0K liquidity Dec 31, 2026

Tracked Price threshold range

Next GPT Model: Will OpenAI Hit 1460 Score by December 2026?

1450+-1460+ 1450+-1460+

$317.3K 24h $2.6M liquidity Dec 31, 2026

Tracked Date ladder

Company: CXMT (ChangXin Memory Technologies, a Chinese DRAM maker)

100.0% 400B+ yuan

$2.1M 24h $135.0K liquidity Dec 31, 2026

Tracked Grouped market event

Which company does Ox Alpha belong to?

100.0% Yes

$640.2K 24h $363.2K liquidity Dec 31, 2026

Tracked Price threshold range

Ethereum Price Prediction 2026: Will ETH Hit $2,250 or Drop to $500 by Dec 31?

↑ 3,000-↓ 500 ↑ 3,000-↓ 500

$226.8K 24h $1.7M liquidity Jan 1, 2027

Tracked Binary market

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

85.5% No

$1.1M 24h $736.9K liquidity Jan 1, 2027

Tracked Date ladder

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

91.3% ↑$4.0T

$216.8K 24h $263.6K liquidity Jan 1, 2027

Tracked Price threshold range

Clacton By-Election: Will Nigel Farage Win 70-80% of Votes?

Above Farage 60–70% Above Farage 60–70%

$1.4M 24h $26.3K liquidity Jun 30, 2027

Tracked Price threshold range

Will SpaceX IPO close above $2.4 trillion by Dec 31 2027?

>$2T->$2.2T >$2T->$2.2T

$8.9M 24h $3.3M liquidity Dec 31, 2027

Tracked Binary market

Let me craft something that captures the specific event, deadline

90.5% No

$311.3K 24h $232.7K liquidity Dec 31, 2027

Closed market records

Closed Archived market

Gyeongsangnam Gubernatorial Race Outlook and Key Candidates

99.5% Yes

$977.0K 24h $87.8K liquidity Jun 3, 2026

Closed Price threshold range

Bitcoin June 2 price outlook: odds of dipping below $63k, $64k, $65k and $66k

Below ↓ 64,000 Below ↓ 64,000

$1.1M 24h $1.6M liquidity Jun 3, 2026

Closed Archived market

Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

100.0% Yes

$6.4M 24h $10.3M liquidity Jun 3, 2026

Closed Archived market

Daegu 2026 Mayoral Election: Key Predictions and Outcomes to Watch

100.0% No

$1.4M 24h $525.2K liquidity Jun 3, 2026

Closed Archived market

Elon Musk tweet volume May 26‑June 2 2026: market pricing for 0‑500+ posts

100.0% No

$2.4M 24h $3.7M liquidity Jun 2, 2026

Closed Archived market

Bitcoin Above $72,000 on June 2? Market Signals and Odds

100.0% Yes

$2.5M 24h $2.4M liquidity Jun 2, 2026

Closed Archived market

Bitcoin Price Outlook for June 2: Key Ranges and Market Expectations

100.0% No

$580.8K 24h $2.0M liquidity Jun 2, 2026

Closed Price threshold range

Bitcoin $70,000 Dip on June 1: Market Odds and Key Price Levels

Below ↓ 66,000 Below ↓ 66,000

$1.3M 24h $2.5M liquidity Jun 2, 2026

Closed Archived market

Can Karen Bass Secure the Los Angeles Mayoral Seat on June 2, 2026?

59.5% Yes

$368.5K 24h $702.8K liquidity Jun 2, 2026

Closed Archived market

Will Bass and Raman advance to the Los Angeles mayoral runoff on June 2, 2026?

99.1% Yes

$545.5K 24h $573.4K liquidity Jun 2, 2026