Cardano (ADA) shows technical signs, accumulation by large holders and protocol advancements that, combined, increase the likelihood of a price rebound. The price rebound of Cardano hinges on key supports, on‑chain flows and scheduled launches that affect the liquid supply and the utility of the network.
On‑chain and volume indicators suggest buying pressure is reactivating despite apparent price weakness. The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) has shown a bullish divergence, indicating capital inflows; the CMF is an indicator that measures money flow by comparing volume and price movement over a period. The On‑Balance Volume (OBV) has broken a downward trendline, a sign that accumulated volume favors buyers; OBV adds volume on bullish sessions and subtracts it on bearish ones to show net market pressure.
The support range between $0.45 and $0.50 remains a technical floor tested in prior cycles, while valuation metrics flag discount conditions. The 30‑day Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio has fallen to approximately −19.7%, placing ADA in a zone labeled “extreme buy”; MVRV compares market capitalization with realized value to identify relative overvaluation or discount.
Accumulation by large holders and ecosystem evolution
Large wallets have reduced liquid supply through notable accumulation and withdrawals to cold storage. In four days, whales and institutional‑sized wallets accumulated 348 million ADA (valued at ≈ $204 M), and in 48‑hour windows purchases of an additional 120 million ADA were recorded; furthermore, 530 million ADA contributed to price stabilization according to on‑chain signals. Those moves included withdrawals from exchanges to cold storage, reducing immediate selling pressure. It is reported that these entities control a meaningful portion of the supply, an indication of consolidation of long‑term position.
Network activity shows operational growth across staking, usage, volume and DeFi participation. 1.33 million wallets are staking and daily active addresses rose 19.2% in the third quarter of 2025; trading volume grew 63% to $1.59 bn and Total Value Locked (TVL) in DeFi increased 17.6% to $341.6 M. TVL is the sum of assets locked in decentralized finance contracts, an indicator of economic use on the network.
Scaling techniques and consensus improvements aim to expand use cases and decentralization. Hydra has demonstrated 1 million transactions per second in internal tests; Hydra is a layer‑2 solution designed to increase throughput across the board
The convergence of technical signals, accumulation by large holders and scheduled technical deployments creates a scenario in which a price rebound for Cardano is plausible if the macro market assists.
