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Wall Street analyst: Bitcoin’s quantum threat is ‘real but distant’ as debate rages

Photorealistic header: crypto analyst in a sleek office with a glowing Bitcoin logo and a quantum computer silhouette.

The debate over the “cryptographic doomsday” has gained new momentum following a report from Wall Street broker Benchmark, evaluating Bitcoin security against the progress of quantum computing. According to analyst Mark Palmer, while the risk is genuine, the network has ample time to evolve, shifting a theoretical concern into a well-planned institutional risk management strategy for the future.

In this analysis, it is highlighted that the primary vulnerability lies not within the protocol itself, but in exposed public keys, especially in Satoshi-era wallets. Nevertheless, the architecture of this leading cryptocurrency is described as conservative yet adaptable, allowing future upgrades to implement quantum-resistant algorithms well before the threat becomes critical for the network’s users.

Furthermore, the formation of Coinbase’s new Quantum Advisory Council marks a turning point in the industry, moving the discussion toward a structured response. Thus, Bitcoin security benefits from an ecosystem that is already designing proactive defenses, ensuring that digital assets remain protected against machines that experts believe will take at least a decade to become practically operational.

ECDSA vs. SHA-256: Technical challenges for quantum resilience

The Benchmark report clarifies that the Elliptic Curve Digital Signature Algorithm (ECDSA) is more susceptible than the SHA-256 hashing process used in mining. Therefore, Bitcoin security requires a gradual migration toward post-quantum signature schemes, a process that the technical community has already begun to debate to shield private keys from future attacks involving quantum brute force.

Moreover, Palmer emphasizes that only a minimal fraction of the total BTC supply resides in vulnerable addresses, which limits systemic risk. For this reason, the integrity of the ledger remains intact while developers prioritize cryptographic agility to guarantee the network’s immutability against any disruptive technological leaps that might emerge over the next few years.

What measures are major institutions taking to mitigate the “harvest now, decrypt later” risk?

On the other hand, figures like Michael Saylor argue that quantum computing threatens the entire global financial system, not just digital assets. In this sense, Bitcoin security could even outperform traditional banking due to its open-source nature, allowing for rapid and consensus-driven patches that protect investor value more efficiently than legacy financial infrastructures currently in place.

Ultimately, for Wall Street analysts, near-term price drivers remain liquidity and regulation, rather than quantum fears. With the creation of dedicated post-quantum security teams in networks like Ethereum, the sector proves it is ready to evolve, reaffirming that Bitcoin security is a dynamic process that will ensure its survival as a store of value throughout the digital age.

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