Bitcoin retreated to $86,800 this Monday, marking a recurring negative trend where the Bitcoin performance during US hours is notably inferior to the rest of the day. According to data recently analyzed by the firm Bespoke Investment, this dynamic suggests a worrying disconnect between global overnight demand and strong local daytime selling pressure.
The digital asset market started the week with notable losses, pushing Ether to the $3,000 zone while the main cryptocurrency lost key support levels. This decline coincides almost perfectly with the opening of traditional markets, a pattern that has become evident to analysts recently. Likewise, related companies suffered abrupt falls, highlighting losses exceeding 7% in strategic firms like Strategy and Circle.
Experts point out that the mechanics of exchange-traded funds could be directly influencing this marked and specific intraday volatility seen recently. On the other hand, statistics reveal a massive disparity between after-hours operations and those executed during the regular New York session. If an investor only traded the IBIT ETF intraday, they would accumulate significant losses of 40.5% since its launch.
The negative impact spread quickly to cryptocurrency miners and exchange platforms, sectors that reacted with widespread red numbers this Monday morning. Firms like CleanSpark and Hut 8 recorded plunges exceeding 10%, exacerbated by recent uncertainty surrounding data center infrastructure. Furthermore, Coinbase experienced a pullback greater than 5%, aligning with the general bearish sentiment of the ecosystem.
The Curse of the American Session and its Domino Effect
This repetitive behavior raises serious questions about the current market structure and the real confidence of institutional investors during liquid hours. The specific weakness of the crypto sector contrasts with much more modest declines observed simultaneously in traditional indices like the Nasdaq or S&P 500. Therefore, market participants must urgently adjust their strategies in the face of this predictable hourly volatility.
Attention is now also focused on the macroeconomic landscape, as crucial labor data is expected from the Bureau of Labor Statistics this week. These reports will be determinant for future Federal Reserve decisions regarding potential interest rate cuts in early 2026. However, uncertainty persists while other global central banks, like Japan’s, adjust their own monetary policies.
Can the Crypto Market Decouple from Traditional Volatility?
The current scenario suggests that the correlation between traditional trading hours and the performance of digital assets remains strong and problematic. The selling pressure consistently observed during mornings in the United States could continue to define price action in the short term if sentiment does not change. Thus, caution dominates among traders seeking to avoid unnecessary losses.
Looking ahead, the combination of technical factors and macroeconomic events will dictate if Bitcoin manages to recover the psychological $90,000 level soon. Investors will be attentive to the Bank of England meetings and the European Central Bank to anticipate global liquidity movements affecting price. Finally, the market’s ability to absorb these intraday sales will be key for any sustained recovery.
