HBAR fell 18% in one week after losing its one‑month support, a move that immediately pressured liquidity conditions and sentiment. As of November 19, 2025, it traded near $0,146, according to the latest market data. The correction unfolded despite on‑chain accumulation signals, raising near‑term technical risks for liquidity and the onboarding of new investors.
During July and August 2025 there was significant accumulation by large holders, with more than 60 million HBAR added to wallets outside exchanges, a move that typically suggests long‑term holding. However, the lack of retail interest and limited participation from “smart money” constrained the expected bullish impact and muted follow‑through from the accumulation.
The support identified on November 11 at $0,173 did not hold, and analysts marked immediate resistances at $0,196 and $0,206. A sustained rise toward the $0,18–$0,22 range could have triggered forced covering of short positions, with additional hurdles noted at $0,23 and $0,26, emphasizing the layered overhead supply that price would need to clear.
Technical indicators and market impact
Between November 17 and 18, technical indicators shifted bias to the downside. A hidden bearish divergence was observed in the RSI, a signal that often indicates the downward trend continues even if the price attempts to rebound. At the same time, the Money Flow Index (MFI) showed weakness and broke its uptrend line after a brief attempt at buying during the declines; the MFI integrates volume and price to assess buying or selling pressure.
The combination of these signs contributes to a structural pattern defined by a descending channel and a descending triangle, which maintains the bearish bias. The loss of the monthly support has reduced opportunistic buyer confidence and compressed liquidity at intermediate levels, increasing the risk of wider swings in the face of market orders. If daily closes confirm an additional break below the current threshold, the price could be exposed to drops toward $0,154, increasing entry costs for funds and putting pressure on access and hedging of leveraged positions.
HBAR’s immediate evolution will depend on defending the level near $0,146 on daily closes, as this threshold has become the pivotal marker for short‑term stability. A sustained recovery above the $0,18–$0,22 range would be the next technical indicator of relief, aligning with the potential unwinding of short positions if momentum improves and closes become consistent above that band.
The next verified milestone remains clear: either hold $0,146 or recover and consistently close above the $0,18–$0,22 range to alleviate pressure, restore liquidity confidence, and re‑open the onboarding path for new investors without exacerbating volatility.
