XRP has fallen to its weakest levels in over a year and is trading around $1.44. Analysts predict it could drop to $1 by the end of the year if it breaks through key support levels.
Market data showed XRP closing near $1.44, its lowest daily close since November 2014, and in some cases, it even traded as low as $1.40. The token broke through key support levels around $1.60 and $1.47, levels identified by analysts as critical for short-term stability.
All indications point to a cascade of liquidations and a surge in exchange inflows as the cause of the token’s low price this time. Some analysts projected short-term targets in the range of $1.28 to $1.22 if the downward trend continues.
In some cases, XRP is expected to fall below $1 and even as low as $0.80 by year-end, a scenario considered contingent on continued market weakness.
How low can XRP go? Mixed market scenarios
Throughout the week, the price decline was linked to broader market pressures, including Bitcoin’s drop below $70,000, which intensified risk appetite. Aggregate realized price metrics are hovering near $1.48, although a break below that level would put many holders at a loss and reflect setups seen in previous dips.
Claims that XRP has plummeted to its lowest level since Donald Trump’s election in 2016 are not entirely accurate, as XRP was worth only pennies at the end of 2016, and the recent drop, however sharp, does not represent an absolute all-time low.
For traders, custody teams, and compliance officers, the immediate priorities are monitoring flows and the $1.48 price level, and observing whether the selling slows. If the price breaks below $1.00, models cited by analysts suggest increased margin and liquidity stress that could amplify losses on leveraged positions and increase outflows from exchanges.
Therefore, risk managers should prepare for increased volatility and potential operational impacts on liquidation and custody flows.
