RAIN is trading close to its prior peak as of January 26, driven by concentrated accumulation and supportive on-chain flows. The token’s short-term upside hinges on whether buying volume can overcome weakening momentum and a major scheduled token unlock
Data show a 76% decline in spent-coins activity, a sign that holders have restrained selling ahead of potential upside. Over the preceding 48 hours large addresses bought roughly 165 million RAIN, valued near $1.66 million, reflecting renewed conviction among whales, according to Santiment and related reporting.
The Money Flow Index has also remained above the neutral 50 level, indicating that buying pressure, not selling, currently dominates short-term flows.
RAIN set a new all-time high at $0.0105 within the prior 48 hours and is being eyed for a decisive breakout above $0.0110. Technical studies referenced in market write-ups identify a broadening ascending wedge that points to higher volatility with a bullish bias, and a potential ~15% upside if confirmed by volume-led continuation.
Technical picture and the unlocking risk
That bullish case faces two practical headwinds. First, momentum indicators show signs of fading and a bearish RSI divergence, implying the current advance is supported more by lack of selling than by aggressive fresh buying. Second, a linear unlock releasing roughly 9.41–9.43 billion RAIN — about $90 million at recent prices — represents a material near-term supply shock. Coverage of the unlock warns that significant selling from newly unlocked tokens could cap gains or reverse the move.
For traders, the operational signals are clear: a daily close above $0.0110 accompanied by elevated trading volume would strengthen the probability of a sustained move into fresh highs. Conversely, a failure to attract new inflows or profit-taking near current levels could see RAIN fall back toward the $0.0100 support and, in a deeper correction, toward $0.0090.
Looking ahead, the week of January 26–February 1, will be decisive. Market participants will watch whether accumulated buying can absorb the token unlock and whether broader crypto market sentiment — currently in a state of ‘fear’ with rising Bitcoin dominance, per recent coverage — shifts to favor altcoin strength.
A robust, volume-backed close above $0.0110 would validate the breakout thesis; a slip below $0.0099 would instead signal a temporary setback and raise questions about the market’s capacity to soak up additional supply.
