On December 24, 2025, analyst Ananda Banerjee presented a worrying Hedera HBAR technical analysis pointing toward a potential drastic price decline. According to the report, the asset confirmed a bear flag structure breakdown, which could drag its valuation toward multi-month lows in the coming sessions. The situation is worsening as buyers fail to step in and support the price at current critical zones.
The chart breakdown on the 4-hour timeframe is decisive and shows a persistent structural weakness. Furthermore, the token has experienced a 26% depreciation over the past month, proving that the selling momentum completely dominates the current scenario of the digital asset market. Therefore, if the price fails to hold above $0.109, the technical target sits near the $0.068 zone, representing a significant additional setback for investors.
Moreover, exchange flow data reveals that buying pressure has almost completely disappeared from the books. While net outflows were in the millions earlier this month, this metric has collapsed by 92% during the most recent trading days. Consequently, it is evident that market participants have lost their interest in accumulating the asset during the most recent price dips.
Extreme social disinterest reaches historical levels as buying liquidity vanishes completely
Additionally, positive social sentiment has suffered a dramatic implosion, recording a 98% drop compared to its previous peaks. Nevertheless, this scenario of absolute capitulation within the Hedera HBAR technical analysis is often seen by some as an exhaustion signal. Because of this, there is a slight possibility that the extremely negative sentiment acts as a catalyst for a brief technical relief rally very soon.
Historically, when community interest reaches these lows, quick double-digit recoveries have taken place. However, for this phenomenon to recur, it is required that buying pressure returns with significant conviction to the order books of major exchanges. In the current context, any upward attempt might be used by large companies to liquidate positions before a deeper crash toward new yearly lows.
Can the capitulation of social sentiment force an unexpected trend reversal?
The immediate future of Hedera depends on its ability to reclaim critical resistance zones before the year ends. On the other hand, price acceptance below key support levels validates the continuation of the bearish trend projected by market specialists. It is also important to consider that the absence of positive fundamental catalysts hinders any attempt at a solid structural recovery in the short term for this asset.
To invalidate this risk scenario, the price would need to forcefully reclaim the $0.155 mark. As long as this does not happen, traders should remain cautious, as the market structure continues to favor sellers across all relevant timeframes. Finally, monitoring capital flows will be essential to identify the end of the cycle that the project is currently going through.
