The crypto market is waiting for SEC rulings on exchange traded funds that track XRP and Solana, with deadlines falling in October or November 2025. Analysts expect the decisions to steer institutional money into both tokens and shift price levels and liquidity for all participants.
The consensus among surveyed reports is that both funds will win approval, with Bloomberg data contracts placing the odds between 90% and 95%. These figures reflect rising institutional demand and a softer regulatory line from the SEC. An ETF is a basket of shares that trades on a stock exchange and backs its value with the underlying asset.
Price surveys provide conditional ranges tied to the ETF outcome and ecosystem trends. For XRP, estimates span roughly $3 to $33, while for Solana a late-2025 target cited is $500. These numbers combine the ETF catalyst with ecosystem expansion, and the same surveys weigh the SEC suit against Ripple alongside Solana’s DeFi and staking metrics.
Timeline, risks, and market scenarios
The calendar carries risk. The SEC has already postponed several verdicts in 2025 and each delay injects volatility. A split commission vote or a court loss for Ripple could reroute the forecast paths. Commentaries also warn that even with approval, markets may see “buy the rumor, sell the news” dynamics, and one briefing underscores that “Change is the only constant” to highlight ongoing uncertainty.
The reviewed material outlines concrete effects that could follow an approval or a rejection, shaping both near-term price action and longer-term allocations.
Key markers include approval probability near 90–95%, SEC dates in October or November 2025, a price span of $3–$33 for XRP, and up to $500 for SOL, alongside the risk of a post-news pullback.
The next checkpoint is the SEC vote slated for October and November 2025. The rulings will determine whether institutional capital flows into XRP and Solana accelerate and whether demand patterns reset in the following months.
