The price of XRP between October 31 and December 25, 2025 sits at the crossroads of new legal clarity and fresh institutional demand. After Ripple paid the SEC 50 million dollars in August 2025 and recovered 75 million dollars held in trust, the token’s status looks clearer and large investors beyond ETF issuers have stepped in. How much demand arrives, how many coins remain on exchanges, and how Bitcoin behaves will shape the holiday-season moves.
The court fight with the SEC is over and the fear that kept big money away has shrunk. In 2025 several XRP ETFs began to trade — one of them offers leverage and started in July — while futures on the CME drew heavy volume, with more than 542 million dollars changing hands in a single day and open interest topping one billion dollars.
Visibility and positioning improved as XRP joined the Nasdaq Crypto US Settlement Price Index on June 2, 2025. Small traders panicked at times, yet large wallets kept adding coins, and the token moved between 2.34 and 3.00 dollars. Ripple as well as other holders locked 300 million coins again, limiting the flow of tokens to the spot market. Brad Garlinghouse, the CEO of Ripple, said, “This is a victory for Ripple, for the industry and for the rule of law.” An ETF is a fund that tracks the price of the token — investors buy shares on a regulated exchange and never handle the coin itself.
What could push the price
Four forces could steer XRP during the holiday period, centered on institutional flows, product access, Bitcoin correlation, and the tradable supply on exchanges.
Key facts frame the range of outcomes: the court settlement cost Ripple 50 million dollars but removed legal doubt, and ETFs plus futures bring in steady demand. The price range under review is 2.30 to 3.00 dollars, and a spike to 1,000 dollars is viewed as impossible because the network would need a market size larger than the entire crypto space.
Interplay among ETF flows, CME futures activity, and exchange liquidity will likely dictate direction, with Bitcoin’s behavior acting as a major driver of risk-on or risk-off sentiment for XRP.
The eight weeks from Halloween to Christmas will test the idea that big funds want XRP. If ETF inflows and custody buys stay strong, bids can push the price higher; if Bitcoin falls or leveraged bets unwind, the token can drop. The first clue will come from CME futures volume or ETF flows in the weeks right before Halloween.
