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Spot Solana ETF Approval Odds Jump to 91%

TL;DR

  • The probability of the SEC approving Solana ETFs has risen significantly, reaching up to 91% according to Polymarket.
  • Seven companies that applied for Solana ETFs have already responded to amendment requests, demonstrating speed and strong institutional interest.
  • Although SOL’s price has retreated after recent gains, network activity remains solid, suggesting potential upside once approval is confirmed.

The discussion about the possible approval of Solana ETFs by the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has gained significant momentum in recent weeks. This expectation grew after it was confirmed that seven companies filing for Solana ETF applications quickly made amendments in response to regulatory requirements. This move reflects not only the speed at which these projects are progressing but also a renewed institutional interest in Solana as a digital asset and in the broader blockchain ecosystem, especially among major investors who are increasingly seeking innovative opportunities in decentralized finance.

Probability of Solana ETFs Approval in 2025

Various sources, including Bloomberg and the Polymarket platform, have estimated that the chances of the SEC approving one or more Solana ETFs before the end of the year range between 91% and 92%. This optimistic outlook also considers interest in including staking aspects within these funds, an additional appeal for investors seeking passive exposure to Solana’s ecosystem. Analysts speculate that the decision could be announced within weeks, although the SEC has yet to provide official dates or concrete details about the process. Market participants remain attentive to any regulatory signals that could influence this outcome.

Solana ETF According to Polymarket

Solana in the Market and Network Activity

Meanwhile, SOL’s price has experienced volatility, reaching above $168 in mid-June before dropping roughly 15% and testing a technical support level that has held for two months. This dynamic suggests the market has yet to fully reflect the impact an ETF approval could have. However, Solana’s network shows signs of strength: the number of daily active addresses remains above 5 million, a figure much higher than the low recorded in March.

This level of activity indicates a constantly growing and healthy ecosystem, which could attract even more institutional capital once ETF approval is confirmed. Furthermore, ongoing development and partnerships within the Solana ecosystem continue to enhance its fundamental value proposition.

The outlook for Solana is promising, with clear signs that ETF integration could trigger a new phase of adoption and value growth. All eyes are on the SEC, whose next move will be crucial for the immediate future of this blockchain platform and its native token.

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