XRP showed technical signs that put a $5 target on the market radar, a projection relevant to institutional managers, product teams and compliance due to its potential effect on liquidity and accessibility. The move combines chart patterns, on-chain data and growing interest in XRP-linked ETFs, particularly affecting those who manage exposure, custody and capital inflows/outflows.
Analysts have identified two key technical formations on XRP charts: a “cup‑and‑handle” detected by analyst Milkybull and a multi‑year symmetrical triangle observed on the monthly scale by Egrag Crypto. A sustained breakout above the cup’s upper line and the triangle’s apex are cited as necessary conditions to drive a significant rise, with Egrag Crypto placing the triangle’s resolution window between July and September 2025.
The “cup‑and‑handle” is a continuation pattern signaling accumulation followed by a brief correction before a potential bullish breakout, supporting the view that the current structure may precede a larger upward move if resistance is cleared.
On‑chain data show the Spot Taker Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) at 90 days turned positive, which, according to CryptoQuant, reflects buyer dominance and has preceded strong rallies in recent episodes. Historically, a similar reading preceded a 75% rise in 2025, according to analyses cited by the alert’s authors.
The XRP market and a possible rebound
The regulatory and institutional component adds weight to the setup: the Depository Trust and Clearing Corporation (DTCC) records listings of up to 11 ETF products tied to XRP in active and pre‑launch categories. Commentators like Nate Geraci and Eric Balchunas have linked the reopening of the regulatory calendar—after the resolution of the U.S. government shutdown—with a higher probability of launches, while implied probabilities in prediction markets placed approval of an XRP ETF at around 87% for the end of 2025.
The convergence of technicals and product suggests greater institutional interest and possible increased liquidity, but it hinges on a clear breakout above resistances: $2,40, $3,00 and $3,50 are cited levels as gateways to larger targets. If support is established above $2,40, scenarios project trajectories toward $3–$4 and, under strong inflow conditions, toward $5 or more, contingent on sustained momentum and supply absorption.
Next milestone centers on the symmetrical triangle’s resolution window between July and September 2025, when markets will assess whether a confirmed breakout aligns with the $5 target and whether anticipated ETF launches materialize the expected institutional inflow.
